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Metric details

Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.

Analysis computed

best: could be chance (0.08)

best: clear pattern (0.76)

#PilotOut-climbCore sLeaveRateKept%TopOut%Round
1James Wynd61 (21 shared climbs)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)1.1 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)78 (7/9 circling bouts led to climbs)44 (mean on-course altitude 29% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
2Anthony Meechan63 (33 shared climbs)37 (21 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s)88 (7/8 circling bouts led to climbs)56 (mean on-course altitude 49% of band)0.22 (160 circles, 90% left)
3Mark Tyminski—40 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s)54 (7/13 circling bouts led to climbs)93 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band)0.20 (174 circles, 54% left)
4Hayden Emms—61 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)69 (9/13 circling bouts led to climbs)47 (mean on-course altitude 49% of band)0.17 (368 circles, 24% left)
5Dean Bayly70 (22 shared climbs)35 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs)43 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.20 (116 circles, 91% left)
6Curtis Greenwood82 (8 shared climbs)49 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)75 (3/4 circling bouts led to climbs)1 (mean on-course altitude 5% of band)0.14 (193 circles, 79% left)
7Dave Moore79 (8 shared climbs)28 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)——0.12 (27 circles, 96% left)
8Andy Phillips53 (7 shared climbs)45 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs)38 (mean on-course altitude 23% of band)0.17 (48 circles, 46% left)
9Andy Schmidt57 (7 shared climbs)54 (12 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)70 (7/10 circling bouts led to climbs)33 (mean on-course altitude 35% of band)0.18 (88 circles, 30% left)
10Damian Hamilton54 (21 shared climbs)25 (6 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)——0.12 (92 circles, 100% left)
10James McGinty11 (1 shared climb)————— (5 circles, 40% left)

Time to core thermals

Measured in seconds · no expected direction

How long the pilot takes to get into the best lift after they arrive in a thermal. For each thermal of 60 s or more, we measure the seconds from the entry until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the thermals of the pilot. There is no expected direction. Time spent working into the core is not lost if the pilot ends up in the better lift, so the sign of the correlation says whether the hunt paid on this day. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb

Measured in percent · no expected direction

How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
806
605
603
571

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

How round and consistent the circles were

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position less often than every 2 seconds. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

Turn direction across the field: 59% left (1295 circles).

1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

best: too few pilots (0.61)

best: could be chance (0.58)

best: could be chance (0.41)

best: too few pilots (0.80)

#PilotStartDlyTimeLostBehindSpare mFinalGl
1James Wynd000.03592.25 (left last climb 1.9 km from goal at 1119 m)
2Anthony Meechan014123.62792.66 (left last climb 2.0 km from goal at 1037 m)
3Mark Tyminski040229.03312.54 (left last climb 2.7 km from goal at 1360 m)
4Hayden Emms0167952.8863.70 (left last climb 4.9 km from goal at 1614 m)
5Dean Bayly00———
6Curtis Greenwood00———
7Dave Moore00———
8Andy Phillips0102———
9Andy Schmidt0————
10Damian Hamilton—————
10James McGinty—————

How long after the gate opened the pilot started

Measured in seconds · lower is better

Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.

Start execution

PilotDelayAlt mBand %Behind km
James Wynd0:001874930.0
Anthony Meechan0:001381492.9
Mark Tyminski0:0020101060.0
Hayden Emms0:001143270.2
Dean Bayly0:001249372.1
Curtis Greenwood0:001594681.9
Dave Moore0:001365472.8
Andy Phillips0:001298413.6
Andy Schmidt0:0022911314.3

Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).

Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg

Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.

+9:43SSS→KANGCK+11:22KANGCK→CLCCLC+2:30CLCCLC→ESS
Anthony Meechan, over 3 compared legs: +23:35 overall. — marks a leg the pilot or the winner did not complete; the table below has every pilot.

Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner

PilotSSS→KANGCKKANGCK→CLCCLCCLCCLC→ESSTotal
James Wynd+0:00+0:00+0:00+0:00
Anthony Meechan+9:43+11:22+2:30+23:35
Mark Tyminski+7:59+9:55+11:09+29:02
Hayden Emms+17:51+28:20+6:39+52:50
Dean Bayly+7:16——+7:16
Curtis Greenwood+6:54——+6:54
Dave Moore+0:08——+0:08
Andy Phillips+9:03——+9:03

Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.

The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.

Race time behind the leader at ESS

Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.

A line that stops early is a pilot who landed. The top 5 are coloured; the table below has every pilot.

Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint

PilotELLIOTKANGCKCLCCLCCORRYCORRY
James Wynd0.00.00.00.00.0
Anthony Meechan0.09.721.123.623.6
Mark Tyminski0.08.017.929.029.0
Hayden Emms0.017.946.252.852.8
Dean Bayly0.07.3———
Curtis Greenwood0.06.9———
Dave Moore0.00.1———
Andy Phillips0.09.1———
Andy Schmidt0.0————

The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.

Arriving at ESS with height to spare

Measured in metres · lower is better

Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.

ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 305 m (n=4).

Final glide committed to when leaving the last climb

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

How optimistic the pilot was about their final glide. A pilot wins or loses a task by the height at which they leave the last climb. At the last climb of the pilot before goal, or before the landing, we divide the distance still to fly to goal, through every turnpoint not yet reached, by their height above goal. That is the glide ratio they committed to. 8 means they left and needed 8:1 to make goal. The value counts only when that climb ended within 1.5 times the length of the last course leg longer than 1 km from goal — when ESS and goal share a waypoint, the zero-length hop between them is not that leg. There is no expected direction: a marginal glide wins if it connects, and loses if it does not. We also give the ratio through the air. The pilot’s own last climb measured the wind, and we remove its effect over the time the glide took. A tailwind makes the glide easier than the number over the ground, and a headwind makes it harder.

Through the air, the wind changed the committed glide by 10% or more for 0 of 3 pilots.

Final glide through the air

PilotOver the groundTailwind (km/h)Through the air
Anthony Meechan2.7+22.5
Mark Tyminski2.5-12.7
Hayden Emms3.7-23.9

A negative tailwind is a headwind.