Metric details
Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.
Analysis computed
best: could be chance (0.08)
best: clear pattern (0.76)
| # | Pilot | Out-climb | Core s | LeaveRate | Kept% | TopOut% | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Wynd | 61 (21 shared climbs) | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | 1.1 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 78 (7/9 circling bouts led to climbs) | 44 (mean on-course altitude 29% of band) | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster) |
| 2 | Anthony Meechan | 63 (33 shared climbs) | 37 (21 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 88 (7/8 circling bouts led to climbs) | 56 (mean on-course altitude 49% of band) | 0.22 (160 circles, 90% left) |
| 3 | Mark Tyminski | — | 40 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.5 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 54 (7/13 circling bouts led to climbs) | 93 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band) | 0.20 (174 circles, 54% left) |
| 4 | Hayden Emms | — | 61 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.2 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 69 (9/13 circling bouts led to climbs) | 47 (mean on-course altitude 49% of band) | 0.17 (368 circles, 24% left) |
| 5 | Dean Bayly | 70 (22 shared climbs) | 35 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.3 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs) | 43 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band) | 0.20 (116 circles, 91% left) |
| 6 | Curtis Greenwood | 82 (8 shared climbs) | 49 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 0.9 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 75 (3/4 circling bouts led to climbs) | 1 (mean on-course altitude 5% of band) | 0.14 (193 circles, 79% left) |
| 7 | Dave Moore | 79 (8 shared climbs) | 28 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.1 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s) | — | — | 0.12 (27 circles, 96% left) |
| 8 | Andy Phillips | 53 (7 shared climbs) | 45 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.5 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs) | 38 (mean on-course altitude 23% of band) | 0.17 (48 circles, 46% left) |
| 9 | Andy Schmidt | 57 (7 shared climbs) | 54 (12 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.1 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 70 (7/10 circling bouts led to climbs) | 33 (mean on-course altitude 35% of band) | 0.18 (88 circles, 30% left) |
| 10 | Damian Hamilton | 54 (21 shared climbs) | 25 (6 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s) | — | — | 0.12 (92 circles, 100% left) |
| 10 | James McGinty | 11 (1 shared climb) | — | — | — | — | — (5 circles, 40% left) |
Time to core thermals
Measured in seconds · no expected direction
How long the pilot takes to get into the best lift after they arrive in a thermal. For each thermal of 60 s or more, we measure the seconds from the entry until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the thermals of the pilot. There is no expected direction. Time spent working into the core is not lost if the pilot ends up in the better lift, so the sign of the correlation says whether the hunt paid on this day. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.
1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.
Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb
Measured in percent · no expected direction
How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.
Acceptance by hour
| Hour | Median accepted (%) | pilots |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | 6 | |
| 60 | 5 | |
| 60 | 3 | |
| 57 | 1 |
Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).
How round and consistent the circles were
Measured in ratio · no expected direction
Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position less often than every 2 seconds. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.
Turn direction across the field: 59% left (1295 circles).
1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.
best: too few pilots (0.61)
best: could be chance (0.58)
best: could be chance (0.41)
best: too few pilots (0.80)
| # | Pilot | StartDly | TimeLost | Behind | Spare m | FinalGl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Wynd | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 359 | 2.25 (left last climb 1.9 km from goal at 1119 m) |
| 2 | Anthony Meechan | 0 | 141 | 23.6 | 279 | 2.66 (left last climb 2.0 km from goal at 1037 m) |
| 3 | Mark Tyminski | 0 | 402 | 29.0 | 331 | 2.54 (left last climb 2.7 km from goal at 1360 m) |
| 4 | Hayden Emms | 0 | 1679 | 52.8 | 86 | 3.70 (left last climb 4.9 km from goal at 1614 m) |
| 5 | Dean Bayly | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Curtis Greenwood | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 7 | Dave Moore | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 8 | Andy Phillips | 0 | 102 | — | — | — |
| 9 | Andy Schmidt | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Damian Hamilton | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | James McGinty | — | — | — | — | — |
How long after the gate opened the pilot started
Measured in seconds · lower is better
Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.
Start execution
| Pilot | Delay | Alt m | Band % | Behind km |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wynd | 0:00 | 1874 | 93 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Meechan | 0:00 | 1381 | 49 | 2.9 |
| Mark Tyminski | 0:00 | 2010 | 106 | 0.0 |
| Hayden Emms | 0:00 | 1143 | 27 | 0.2 |
| Dean Bayly | 0:00 | 1249 | 37 | 2.1 |
| Curtis Greenwood | 0:00 | 1594 | 68 | 1.9 |
| Dave Moore | 0:00 | 1365 | 47 | 2.8 |
| Andy Phillips | 0:00 | 1298 | 41 | 3.6 |
| Andy Schmidt | 0:00 | 2291 | 131 | 4.3 |
Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).
Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg
Measured in seconds · lower is better
For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.
Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner
| Pilot | SSS→KANGCK | KANGCK→CLCCLC | CLCCLC→ESS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wynd | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 |
| Anthony Meechan | +9:43 | +11:22 | +2:30 | +23:35 |
| Mark Tyminski | +7:59 | +9:55 | +11:09 | +29:02 |
| Hayden Emms | +17:51 | +28:20 | +6:39 | +52:50 |
| Dean Bayly | +7:16 | — | — | +7:16 |
| Curtis Greenwood | +6:54 | — | — | +6:54 |
| Dave Moore | +0:08 | — | — | +0:08 |
| Andy Phillips | +9:03 | — | — | +9:03 |
Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.
The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.
Race time behind the leader at ESS
Measured in minutes · lower is better
At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.
Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint
| Pilot | ELLIOT | KANGCK | CLCCLC | CORRY | CORRY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wynd | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Meechan | 0.0 | 9.7 | 21.1 | 23.6 | 23.6 |
| Mark Tyminski | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.9 | 29.0 | 29.0 |
| Hayden Emms | 0.0 | 17.9 | 46.2 | 52.8 | 52.8 |
| Dean Bayly | 0.0 | 7.3 | — | — | — |
| Curtis Greenwood | 0.0 | 6.9 | — | — | — |
| Dave Moore | 0.0 | 0.1 | — | — | — |
| Andy Phillips | 0.0 | 9.1 | — | — | — |
| Andy Schmidt | 0.0 | — | — | — | — |
The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.
Arriving at ESS with height to spare
Measured in metres · lower is better
Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.
ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 305 m (n=4).
Final glide committed to when leaving the last climb
Measured in ratio · no expected direction
How optimistic the pilot was about their final glide. A pilot wins or loses a task by the height at which they leave the last climb. At the last climb of the pilot before goal, or before the landing, we divide the distance still to fly to goal, through every turnpoint not yet reached, by their height above goal. That is the glide ratio they committed to. 8 means they left and needed 8:1 to make goal. The value counts only when that climb ended within 1.5 times the length of the last course leg longer than 1 km from goal — when ESS and goal share a waypoint, the zero-length hop between them is not that leg. There is no expected direction: a marginal glide wins if it connects, and loses if it does not. We also give the ratio through the air. The pilot’s own last climb measured the wind, and we remove its effect over the time the glide took. A tailwind makes the glide easier than the number over the ground, and a headwind makes it harder.
Through the air, the wind changed the committed glide by 10% or more for 0 of 3 pilots.
Final glide through the air
| Pilot | Over the ground | Tailwind (km/h) | Through the air |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Meechan | 2.7 | +2 | 2.5 |
| Mark Tyminski | 2.5 | -1 | 2.7 |
| Hayden Emms | 3.7 | -2 | 3.9 |
A negative tailwind is a headwind.