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Metric details

Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.

Analysis computed

best: too few pilots (0.20)

#PilotNonSink%
2Dave Moore53
3Donny Gardner64
3Connor Hansen16
3Marty Hearne3
3Neill Hollingsworth53
3Brett Huggan54
3Mark Wallace21

The day’s wind, hour by hour and leg by leg

Measured in kilometres per hour · no expected direction

What the air did, read from the field itself. We estimate the wind from the circling of every pilot, from how far the centre of each circle drifts. We then combine the estimates two ways. The table by hour of day shows how the wind increased and changed direction through the day. The table by speed-section leg shows the wind on each part of the course. This metric describes the day, so it has no value for each pilot.

Wind by hour

PeriodSpeed (km/h)Dir (°)n
Whole task7.2330109
10.23151
7.931351
6.0757

Each circle gives one wind estimate, from the drift of its centre. We do not use the change of ground speed around a circle: checked against 20,000 climbs, it read about 1.5 times too high. The direction is the vector mean of the estimates, in degrees the wind blows FROM (0° = north). The speed is the median of their magnitudes, because the length of a vector mean falls toward zero when the directions scatter.

Hours are shown in the competition’s time zone.

Wind by leg

LegFlownPilotsCirclingSpeed (km/h)Dir (°)nFrom pilots
ELLIOT (SSS)→MTMITA1———00
MTMITA→TOWONG—0———00
TOWONG→KHANCO (ESS)—0———00
KHANCO (ESS)→KHANCO (GOAL)—0———00

Each circle gives one wind estimate, from the drift of its centre. We do not use the change of ground speed around a circle: checked against 20,000 climbs, it read about 1.5 times too high. The direction is the vector mean of the estimates, in degrees the wind blows FROM (0° = north). The speed is the median of their magnitudes, because the length of a vector mean falls toward zero when the directions scatter.

“Flown” is when the field was ON the leg — the first pilot entering to the last leaving — over the “Pilots” who started and flew the whole leg.

“Circling” is the narrower window the wind was actually measured in: first to last circle estimate any pilot logged while on the leg, from “From pilots” pilots. Glides produce no estimate, so a leg the field mostly glided shows a sliver of its flown window (or “—” where no one circled at all) — and a late leg the leaders glided can be measured EARLIER than the leg before it without either being wrong.

How strong the day’s climbs were, hour by hour

Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

When the day started, reached its peak, and ended. We group the thermal climbs of all pilots by the hour in which each climb started, labelled in the time zone of the competition. The median and the 90th-percentile average climb rate for each hour show how the lift developed. The first row is the whole task, measured over every climb of the day in one set, and not as an average of the hourly rows. This metric describes the day, so it has no value for each pilot.

Climb by hour

PeriodMedian (m/s)p90 (m/s)n
Whole task0.91.822
1.01.916
0.70.76

The average climb rate of every thermal use across the field, grouped by the start of the climb. The hours are in the time zone of the competition. The whole-task row is measured over all of those climbs together, not averaged from the hours.

Share of the flight spent in air that wasn’t sinking

Measured in percent · no expected direction

How much of the flight was in air worth being in. The value is the share of the airborne time of a pilot, on the shared grid, with a 30 s-smoothed vario at or above −0.5 m/s. The time they flew, the line they steered and the way the flight ended all feed this value. It is therefore a reading of the day as much as of the pilot. There is no expected direction, and the sign of the correlation is the finding. The timing table compares the window of the day’s best climbs against the time when the field launched.

Day timing

Time
Best conditions
Earliest takeoff
Median takeoff
Latest takeoff

Best conditions is the one-hour window with the strongest median climb (1.0 m/s), among hours with enough climbs to be representative (≥20% of the busiest hour).

best: too few pilots (0.87)

#PilotOut-climbCore sLeaveRateKept%Round
2Dave Moore80 (8 shared climbs)64 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/3 circling bouts led to climbs)0.15 (59 circles, 14% left)
3Donny Gardner————0.18 (37 circles, 16% left)
3Connor Hansen—————
3Marty Hearne————— (2 circles, 0% left)
3Neill Hollingsworth————0.28 (11 circles, 0% left)
3Brett Huggan59 (10 shared climbs)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)1.5 (1 climb ≥ 90 s)—— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
3Mark Wallace————— (4 circles, 0% left)

Time to core thermals

Measured in seconds · no expected direction

How long the pilot takes to get into the best lift after they arrive in a thermal. For each thermal of 60 s or more, we measure the seconds from the entry until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the thermals of the pilot. There is no expected direction. Time spent working into the core is not lost if the pilot ends up in the better lift, so the sign of the correlation says whether the hunt paid on this day. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb

Measured in percent · no expected direction

How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
03

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

How round and consistent the circles were

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position less often than every 2 seconds. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

Turn direction across the field: 11% left (125 circles).

1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

best: too few pilots (0.35)

#PilotLowSavesSearch%
2Dave Moore0.062
3Donny Gardner0.0100
3Connor Hansen0.092
3Marty Hearne——
3Neill Hollingsworth0.095
3Brett Huggan0.00
3Mark Wallace——

Distance covered between climbs

Measured in kilometres · higher is better

How far the pilot gets down the course before they must stop and circle again. This is the direct reading of how often they stop. The value is the scored flown distance divided by the number of thermals taken after the start, so 3 km means three kilometres of course for each climb. The pilot must fly 20 km or more. The note of each pilot adds their mean climb percentile inside shared thermals, so you can read the number of stops together with the climb strength. Long legs between weak climbs is a different day from long legs between strong ones. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

1 pilot left out: their instrument records a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of race time spent hunting for the next climb

Measured in percent · lower is better

Time that goes into neither a climb nor progress down the course. This is the time spent to find lift, to stay up, and to decide what to do next. The value is the share of the speed-section time, from the start to ESS or to the landing, in which the pilot neither climbed in a thermal nor glided with real net speed. A lower value means less time lost between climbs.

Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 0/0/0% · glide 5/8/38% · search 62/92/95%