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Task 3 (Open)

How the field actually flew this task, and which behaviours separated it.

Analysis computed

Pilots analysed
33
Sampling
every 10s
Shared thermals
43 of 153multi-pilot
Working band
9592529 m
Phase coverage
100%

2 pilots are in the standings but not in this analysis:

  • Andrew Suttonscored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse
  • Mark Jeffreescored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse

Correlations are measured against the published ranks, which include these pilots; their behaviour simply cannot be measured without a tracklog.

What separated the field

Each metric's Spearman correlation against the published rank. Rank 1 is best, so a metric where more is better shows a negative ρ. Bigger bars mean the metric separated the field more sharply on this task. Select a row to see that metric plotted against rank.

MetricρStrengthnVerdictFamily
Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs-0.77
30strongClimbing
Search fraction of the speed section0.70
33strongDecision-making
Glide speed (post-start)-0.65
29strongGliding
Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)-0.65
33strongGaggle
Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)0.48
29moderateGliding
Start delay (gate to crossing)0.35
33moderateRace craft
Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band-0.29
28within noiseClimbing
Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)-0.24
25within noiseDecision-making
Climbs per 100 km flown0.24
25within noiseDecision-making
Glide L/D vs field (per leg)-0.23
29within noiseGliding
Speed-to-fly proxy0.19
25within noiseGliding
Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)-0.14
28within noiseGaggle
Circle fit error relative to circle radius-0.13
28within noiseClimbing
Climb rate vs field in shared thermals0.13
31within noiseClimbing
Gaggle departure win rate-0.12
22within noiseGaggle
Altitude margin over final glide at ESS0.09
18within noiseRace craft
Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)0.08
33within noiseDecision-making
Time in non-sinking air-0.06
33within noiseDay profile & wind
Time to core a thermal-0.05
30within noiseClimbing
Dolphin climb fraction0.02
28within noiseGliding
Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal0.01
30within noiseClimbing

Verdicts: strong |ρ| ≥ 0.5, moderate ≥ 0.3, weak below — but only after clearing the noise floor for that metric's n. within noise means shuffled ranks produce a coefficient that size more than 5% of the time, so it is indistinguishable from luck whatever its magnitude.

With 21 metrics ranked on this one task, the top rows are partly selection luck — trust the metrics that repeat across tasks in the competition-level analysis.

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs

Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Each dot is a pilot: across is the metric's value, up is a better rank. ρ = -0.77 (strong, n = 30). No expected direction — the sign is the finding: larger values went with better ranks here. 3 pilots have no value and are not plotted.

Outcome checks

These metrics are derived from the race outcome itself, so they correlate with rank by construction — a low |ρ| here questions the eval, not the flying. Their per-pilot diagnostics stay in the Race craft section below.

MetricρStrengthnVerdict
Time behind the leader at ESS1.00
18strong
Time lost on speed-section legs0.15
29within noise

The whole field at a glance

1. Scott Barrett
2. Olav Opsanger
3. Rohan Taylor
4. Rohan Holtkamp
5. Adam Stevens
6. Steve Docherty
7. Stuart Cathcart
8. Paul Bissett-Amess
9. Corinna Schwiegershausen
10. Jon Durand
11. Steve Blenkinsop
12. Steven Crosby
13. Hughbert Alexander
14. Neale Halsall
15. James Wynd
16. Ward Gunn
17. Richard Martin
18. James Atkinson
19. Neil Hooke
20. Mitch Butler
21. Sam Prest
22. Peter Adriaans
23. Guy Hubbard
24. Troy Horton
25. Peter Burkitt
26. Peter Tolhurst
27. Andrew Sutton
28. Vic Hare
29. Jason Carman
30. Adrian Connor
31. Peter Garrone
32. Dustan Hansen
33. Jay Kubeil
Pilots in rank order against every metric: darker = a better percentile in this field (empty = not applicable). Column order follows the family sections below, which carry the exact values. † No good/bad direction — shade is position in the field, not quality.

Pilot style clusters

Groups are flying style, not score — the rank spread on each shows where that style did and did not pay. Each group is named after its strongest signature; ★ marks the pilot most typical of their group.

Group AOutclimbed in company

9 pilots · ranks 129 · median 12 · middle half 723

  • LowClimb rate vs field in shared thermals group median P13 in this field (55 percent) · usually costly
  • LowClimb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal group median P14 in this field (0.4 metres per second)
  • HighTime to core a thermal group median P86 in this field (66 seconds) · usually costly
  • LowClimbs per 100 km flown group median P15 in this field (29.1 count) · usually a strength
  • 1. Scott Barrett
  • 4. Rohan Holtkamp
  • 7. Stuart Cathcart
  • 9. Corinna Schwiegershausen
  • 12. Steven Crosby
  • 15. James Wynd (most typical of this group)
  • 23. Guy Hubbard
  • 25. Peter Burkitt
  • 29. Jason Carman

Group BLift keepers

20 pilots · ranks 228 · median 16.5 · middle half 9.521.3

  • HighTime in non-sinking air group median P67 in this field (61 percent)
  • LowLow saves (climbs from the bottom of the band) group median P33 in this field (0.0 count)
  • HighClimbs per 100 km flown group median P67 in this field (59.9 count) · usually costly
  • HighDolphin climb fraction group median P67 in this field (16 percent)
  • 2. Olav Opsanger
  • 3. Rohan Taylor
  • 5. Adam Stevens
  • 6. Steve Docherty
  • 8. Paul Bissett-Amess
  • 10. Jon Durand
  • 11. Steve Blenkinsop
  • 13. Hughbert Alexander
  • 14. Neale Halsall
  • 16. Ward Gunn (most typical of this group)
  • 17. Richard Martin
  • 18. James Atkinson
  • 19. Neil Hooke
  • 20. Mitch Butler
  • 21. Sam Prest
  • 22. Peter Adriaans
  • 24. Troy Horton
  • 26. Peter Tolhurst
  • 27. Andrew Sutton
  • 28. Vic Hare

Not clustered: 30. Adrian Connor — only 10 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 31. Peter Garrone — only 5 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 32. Dustan Hansen — only 5 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 33. Jay Kubeil — only 6 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%).

Pilots are grouped by flying style, not by score: every behavioural metric is rank-transformed to a within-field percentile, pilots are compared by the mean percentile gap over the metrics both have (missing values are never imputed), and Ward-linkage agglomeration forms the groups, with the number of groups chosen by the best mean silhouette. Each group is annotated with the GAP-rank spread of its members — where a style did and did not pay. Here: 29 pilots on 21 behavioural metrics formed 2 groups (k searched 26); mean silhouette 0.18 — near 0 means soft group boundaries, near 1 tight well-separated groups.

The metrics in detail

strongest |ρ| 0.06

strongest |ρ| 0.77

#PilotSharedPctCore sExitDecayAccept%ExitBand%Smooth
1Scott Barrett52 (15 shared climbs)66 (15 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.2 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)85 (11/13 circling bouts led to climbs)63 (mean on-course altitude 43% of band) (7 circles, 29% left)
2Olav Opsanger75 (64 shared climbs)2 (8 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.7 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)93 (13/14 circling bouts led to climbs)52 (mean on-course altitude 51% of band)0.17 (210 circles, 7% left)
3Rohan Taylor71 (43 shared climbs)35 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s)87 (13/15 circling bouts led to climbs)51 (mean on-course altitude 54% of band)0.14 (173 circles, 48% left)
4Rohan Holtkamp74 (33 shared climbs)37 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (7 climbs ≥ 90 s)71 (10/14 circling bouts led to climbs)48 (mean on-course altitude 46% of band)0.15 (196 circles, 25% left)
5Adam Stevens67 (60 shared climbs)33 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)79 (11/14 circling bouts led to climbs)64 (mean on-course altitude 56% of band)0.13 (287 circles, 64% left)
6Steve Docherty66 (42 shared climbs)38 (21 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)75 (12/16 circling bouts led to climbs)52 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band)0.13 (201 circles, 60% left)
7Stuart Cathcart64 (49 shared climbs)53 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)93 (13/14 circling bouts led to climbs)61 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.17 (177 circles, 55% left)
8Paul Bissett-Amess64 (36 shared climbs)44 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)87 (13/15 circling bouts led to climbs)80 (mean on-course altitude 63% of band)0.17 (204 circles, 26% left)
9Corinna Schwiegershausen53 (12 shared climbs)170 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.1 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)86 (12/14 circling bouts led to climbs)70 (mean on-course altitude 29% of band)0.38 (24 circles, 71% left)
10Jon Durand68 (38 shared climbs)50 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s)92 (12/13 circling bouts led to climbs)44 (mean on-course altitude 46% of band)0.15 (278 circles, 45% left)
11Steve Blenkinsop63 (53 shared climbs)38 (24 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)92 (12/13 circling bouts led to climbs)53 (mean on-course altitude 56% of band)0.23 (246 circles, 25% left)
12Steven Crosby71 (8 shared climbs)107 (12 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.2 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (12/22 circling bouts led to climbs)49 (mean on-course altitude 25% of band)0.39 (15 circles, 60% left)
13Hughbert Alexander77 (29 shared climbs)12 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)40 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.15 (181 circles, 36% left)
14Neale Halsall61 (63 shared climbs)38 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)65 (11/17 circling bouts led to climbs)81 (mean on-course altitude 56% of band)0.16 (274 circles, 15% left)
15James Wynd52 (30 shared climbs)55 (29 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (24 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (14/21 circling bouts led to climbs)58 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band)0.23 (16 circles, 38% left)
16Ward Gunn69 (52 shared climbs)34 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)62 (13/21 circling bouts led to climbs)57 (mean on-course altitude 51% of band)0.19 (217 circles, 4% left)
17Richard Martin76 (23 shared climbs)39 (23 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (17 climbs ≥ 90 s)59 (13/22 circling bouts led to climbs)53 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.13 (335 circles, 39% left)
18James Atkinson68 (81 shared climbs)35 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)81 (21/26 circling bouts led to climbs)55 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.16 (273 circles, 47% left)
19Neil Hooke71 (39 shared climbs)43 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)75 (15/20 circling bouts led to climbs)34 (mean on-course altitude 34% of band)0.13 (249 circles, 46% left)
20Mitch Butler64 (30 shared climbs)53 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)51 (mean on-course altitude 47% of band)0.14 (238 circles, 42% left)
21Sam Prest73 (52 shared climbs)39 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)63 (10/16 circling bouts led to climbs)37 (mean on-course altitude 32% of band)0.13 (288 circles, 26% left)
22Peter Adriaans75 (53 shared climbs)16 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)63 (12/19 circling bouts led to climbs)32 (mean on-course altitude 36% of band)0.13 (226 circles, 3% left)
23Guy Hubbard55 (20 shared climbs)67 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.6 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (8/11 circling bouts led to climbs)65 (mean on-course altitude 57% of band)0.29 (55 circles, 16% left)
24Troy Horton79 (28 shared climbs)5 (10 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)58 (7/12 circling bouts led to climbs)46 (mean on-course altitude 41% of band)0.19 (112 circles, 38% left)
25Peter Burkitt72 (21 shared climbs)32 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (6/12 circling bouts led to climbs)69 (mean on-course altitude 43% of band)0.20 (104 circles, 32% left)
26Peter Tolhurst62 (28 shared climbs)2 (6 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)25 (1/4 circling bouts led to climbs)56 (mean on-course altitude 32% of band)0.13 (73 circles, 11% left)
27Andrew Sutton66 (27 shared climbs)38 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs)38 (mean on-course altitude 17% of band)0.16 (88 circles, 19% left)
28Vic Hare72 (22 shared climbs)37 (8 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/5 circling bouts led to climbs)0.14 (215 circles, 7% left)
29Jason Carman47 (13 shared climbs)90 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.1 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)38 (5/13 circling bouts led to climbs)37 (mean on-course altitude 27% of band) (8 circles, 38% left)
30Adrian Connor70 (14 shared climbs)41 (8 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/4 circling bouts led to climbs)0.14 (77 circles, 0% left)
31Peter Garrone
32Dustan Hansen (3 circles, 67% left)
33Jay Kubeil100 (1 shared climb) (1 circles, 100% left)

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs

Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
1007
8327
7928
2521

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

Circle fit error relative to circle radius

Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Turn direction across the field: 32% left (5051 circles).

strongest |ρ| 0.65

#PilotGlideSpdL/D vs fSTFproxyTrackEffDolphin%
1Scott Barrett69.1 (10 glides, 57 min gliding)1.12 (5 legs compared)-1.8 (9 glide→climb pairs)1.21 (5 legs completed)1 (59 of 4912 m gained outside thermals)
2Olav Opsanger69.7 (32 glides, 66 min gliding)1.00 (4 legs compared)-5.7 (32 glide→climb pairs)1.49 (5 legs completed)44 (4527 of 10220 m gained outside thermals)
3Rohan Taylor70.8 (13 glides, 61 min gliding)1.08 (4 legs compared)-9.7 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.43 (5 legs completed)13 (718 of 5464 m gained outside thermals)
4Rohan Holtkamp65.7 (17 glides, 68 min gliding)1.04 (5 legs compared)1.2 (16 glide→climb pairs)1.35 (5 legs completed)9 (482 of 5311 m gained outside thermals)
5Adam Stevens66.1 (19 glides, 76 min gliding)0.92 (5 legs compared)4.4 (18 glide→climb pairs)1.48 (5 legs completed)16 (835 of 5193 m gained outside thermals)
6Steve Docherty61.4 (23 glides, 80 min gliding)1.01 (5 legs compared)-1.8 (22 glide→climb pairs)1.40 (5 legs completed)13 (634 of 4971 m gained outside thermals)
7Stuart Cathcart58.0 (19 glides, 79 min gliding)1.03 (4 legs compared)2.9 (18 glide→climb pairs)1.29 (5 legs completed)8 (378 of 4903 m gained outside thermals)
8Paul Bissett-Amess62.6 (20 glides, 89 min gliding)1.17 (5 legs compared)-1.4 (19 glide→climb pairs)1.63 (5 legs completed)15 (657 of 4464 m gained outside thermals)
9Corinna Schwiegershausen61.7 (10 glides, 66 min gliding)0.92 (5 legs compared)0.7 (9 glide→climb pairs)1.16 (5 legs completed)8 (489 of 5979 m gained outside thermals)
10Jon Durand60.0 (24 glides, 73 min gliding)0.88 (4 legs compared)-0.5 (23 glide→climb pairs)1.36 (5 legs completed)10 (574 of 5869 m gained outside thermals)
11Steve Blenkinsop60.9 (25 glides, 92 min gliding)1.03 (4 legs compared)-5.3 (24 glide→climb pairs)1.57 (5 legs completed)12 (581 of 4939 m gained outside thermals)
12Steven Crosby60.2 (9 glides, 77 min gliding)1.03 (4 legs compared)-6.7 (8 glide→climb pairs)1.29 (5 legs completed)6 (388 of 5993 m gained outside thermals)
13Hughbert Alexander56.9 (24 glides, 99 min gliding)1.01 (4 legs compared)-1.5 (24 glide→climb pairs)1.61 (5 legs completed)21 (1260 of 6035 m gained outside thermals)
14Neale Halsall58.9 (24 glides, 99 min gliding)1.11 (4 legs compared)-0.4 (23 glide→climb pairs)1.76 (5 legs completed)17 (1052 of 6027 m gained outside thermals)
15James Wynd61.5 (14 glides, 79 min gliding)0.98 (5 legs compared)0.6 (13 glide→climb pairs)1.48 (5 legs completed)4 (195 of 5434 m gained outside thermals)
16Ward Gunn58.3 (26 glides, 100 min gliding)1.01 (5 legs compared)0.7 (25 glide→climb pairs)1.73 (5 legs completed)20 (1135 of 5684 m gained outside thermals)
17Richard Martin59.8 (26 glides, 102 min gliding)0.91 (5 legs compared)4.5 (25 glide→climb pairs)1.75 (5 legs completed)13 (934 of 7065 m gained outside thermals)
18James Atkinson59.2 (36 glides, 108 min gliding)1.04 (4 legs compared)3.0 (35 glide→climb pairs)2.00 (5 legs completed)26 (1732 of 6577 m gained outside thermals)
19Neil Hooke55.4 (26 glides, 92 min gliding)0.83 (3 legs compared)0.9 (25 glide→climb pairs)2.05 (3 legs completed)20 (1114 of 5496 m gained outside thermals)
20Mitch Butler64.7 (13 glides, 61 min gliding)1.12 (3 legs compared)-1.2 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.74 (3 legs completed)13 (449 of 3570 m gained outside thermals)
21Sam Prest61.3 (17 glides, 75 min gliding)0.87 (3 legs compared)2.7 (16 glide→climb pairs)2.16 (3 legs completed)17 (793 of 4713 m gained outside thermals)
22Peter Adriaans56.5 (21 glides, 76 min gliding)0.79 (3 legs compared)1.4 (20 glide→climb pairs)2.17 (3 legs completed)18 (930 of 5270 m gained outside thermals)
23Guy Hubbard60.8 (8 glides, 42 min gliding)1.22 (2 legs compared)-2.6 (7 glide→climb pairs)1.62 (2 legs completed)6 (126 of 2099 m gained outside thermals)
24Troy Horton49.7 (9 glides, 47 min gliding)0.80 (2 legs compared)-0.6 (8 glide→climb pairs)1.87 (2 legs completed)16 (459 of 2899 m gained outside thermals)
25Peter Burkitt60.2 (6 glides, 30 min gliding)1.07 (2 legs compared)-3.0 (5 glide→climb pairs)1.39 (2 legs completed)6 (122 of 2084 m gained outside thermals)
26Peter Tolhurst48.2 (2 glides, 19 min gliding)0.94 (1 leg compared)1.72 (1 leg completed)17 (156 of 895 m gained outside thermals)
27Andrew Sutton50.8 (3 glides, 22 min gliding)1.02 (1 leg compared)1.58 (1 leg completed)10 (60 of 600 m gained outside thermals)
28Vic Hare61.7 (1 glides, 30 min gliding)1.06 (1 leg compared)1.13 (1 leg completed)
29Jason Carman43.9 (4 glides, 18 min gliding)0.71 (1 leg compared)1.79 (1 leg completed)6 (79 of 1354 m gained outside thermals)
30Adrian Connor
31Peter Garrone
32Dustan Hansen
33Jay Kubeil

Glide speed (post-start)

Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Field glide speed: median 60.2 km/h · p90 66.7 km/h (29 pilots)

strongest |ρ| 0.70

#PilotFloor%LowSavesClm/100kmSearch%
1Scott Barrett36 (7 dips, lowest 23% of band)0.015.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 37%)11
2Olav Opsanger39 (9 dips, lowest 9% of band)0.078.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 70%)37
3Rohan Taylor38 (7 dips, lowest 3% of band)0.046.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 51%)21
4Rohan Holtkamp29 (7 dips, lowest -19% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -7% of band)39.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)24
5Adam Stevens33 (8 dips, lowest 23% of band)0.049.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 49%)31
6Steve Docherty38 (8 dips, lowest 20% of band)0.046.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)25
7Stuart Cathcart45 (8 dips, lowest 19% of band)0.046.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 33%)17
8Paul Bissett-Amess48 (9 dips, lowest 7% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 8% of band)46.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 39%)29
9Corinna Schwiegershausen39 (9 dips, lowest 16% of band)0.015.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 45%)9
10Jon Durand28 (8 dips, lowest 2% of band)0.054.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)18
11Steve Blenkinsop39 (9 dips, lowest 9% of band)0.057.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)34
12Steven Crosby24 (6 dips, lowest -7% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -6% of band)13.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 55%)17
13Hughbert Alexander24 (7 dips, lowest -27% of band)0.069.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 55%)28
14Neale Halsall48 (7 dips, lowest -8% of band)0.072.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)32
15James Wynd34 (9 dips, lowest 20% of band)0.028.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 33%)27
16Ward Gunn44 (9 dips, lowest -3% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 0% of band)72.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)36
17Richard Martin37 (10 dips, lowest -15% of band)3.0 (deepest save from -3% of band)59.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)38
18James Atkinson31 (10 dips, lowest -10% of band)0.0104.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 51%)37
19Neil Hooke16 (11 dips, lowest -10% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 14% of band)91.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)36
20Mitch Butler41 (6 dips, lowest 8% of band)0.045.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 42%)26
21Sam Prest15 (7 dips, lowest -3% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -4% of band)70.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 52%)39
22Peter Adriaans12 (8 dips, lowest 0% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 6% of band)87.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 59%)34
23Guy Hubbard66 (4 dips, lowest 42% of band)0.029.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 41%)27
24Troy Horton30 (4 dips, lowest 13% of band)0.054.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 61%)35
25Peter Burkitt31 (2 dips, lowest -1% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -1% of band)31.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 55%)31
26Peter Tolhurst0.031
27Andrew Sutton1.0 (deepest save from 6% of band)34
28Vic Hare0.062
29Jason Carman1.0 (deepest save from -4% of band)42
30Adrian Connor0.037
31Peter Garrone0.0100
32Dustan Hansen0.089
33Jay Kubeil0.0100

Search fraction of the speed section

Measured in percent · lower is better

Share of speed-section time (start to ESS, or landing) spent searching — neither climbing in a thermal nor gliding with real net speed. Lower means less time leaks away between climbs.

Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 31/33/35% · glide 31/37/41% · search 26/32/37%

strongest |ρ| 0.65

strongest |ρ| 0.35

Metric glossary

How every metric on this page is measured. On screen, the ⓘ next to a metric opens the same description in place; in print, this section is the reference for all of them.

Day profile & wind

Wind (by hour and by leg)(“Wind” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · no expected direction

Wind estimated from every pilot’s circling (centre drift preferred, ground-speed modulation as fallback), vector-averaged two ways: by hour of day (how the wind built and shifted through the day) and by speed-section leg (the wind each part of the course saw). Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Climb by hour(“Climb/hr” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

All pilots’ thermal climbs bucketed by the hour the climb started (labelled in the competition’s time zone): median and 90th-percentile average climb rate per hour show how the day’s lift developed. Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Time in non-sinking air(“NonSink%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot’s airborne time (on the shared grid) spent in non-sinking air — 30 s-smoothed vario at or above −0.5 m/s. Reflects how much of the flight met usable air: when flown, where the pilot steered, and how the flight ended all feed it, so the correlation sign is the finding. The timing table relates the day’s best climbs window to when the field actually launched.

Climbing

Climb rate vs field in shared thermals(“SharedPct” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

In every thermal two or more pilots used, each use is ranked by average climb rate; a use’s percentile is the share of strictly slower uses. The value is the duration-weighted mean percentile over the pilot’s shared climbs — centering skill isolated from thermal selection.

Time to core a thermal(“Core s” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each thermal of at least 60 s, the seconds from entering until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the pilot’s thermals — how fast they centre the best lift after arriving.

Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal(“ExitDecay” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

For each thermal of at least 90 s, the climb rate over its final 30 s — the "give-up rate". The value is the median: low means the pilot abandons weakening lift early, high means they ride climbs to the end; the correlation sign says which behaviour paid on this task.

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs(“Accept%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band(“ExitBand%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

The altitude at which the pilot left each post-start thermal, as a percentage of the day’s working band (0% = field floor, 100% = field ceiling); the value is the median. High means topping out every climb, low means leaving early with climb still available.

Circle fit error relative to circle radius(“Smooth” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Gliding

Glide speed (post-start)(“GlideSpd” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Glide L/D vs field (per leg)(“L/D vs f” in tables)
Measured in ratio · higher is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot's glide-phase L/D (path distance ÷ net altitude lost while gliding; legs losing under 100 m skipped) is divided by the field's median L/D on that same leg, then averaged over legs. Above 1.0 means the pilot found better glide lines than the field on the same legs.

Speed-to-fly proxy(“STFproxy” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

A speed-to-fly PROXY — no glider polar data exists. Each post-start glide is paired with the climb rate of the next thermal starting within 5 minutes; the value is the mean glide speed flown before stronger-than-median climbs minus the mean before weaker ones. Positive means the pilot speeds up when the next climb justifies it.

Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)(“TrackEff” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Route distance flown on each completed speed-section leg — full path outside climbs, each climb counted as its net drift — ÷ the leg's optimized distance, averaged with optimized-distance weights. Closer to 1.0 means less deviation from the optimal course line; circling path is excluded, so stopping to climb does not read as bad line choice.

Dolphin climb fraction(“Dolphin%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of post-start altitude gain (10 s-smoothed) made outside detected thermals — climbing on the run instead of stopping to circle. Neutral: the correlation sign shows whether dolphin climbing paid on this day.

Decision-making

Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)(“Floor%” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

Finds each pilot's post-start altitude minima (30 s-smoothed, at least 100 m below the surrounding maxima) — the points where they stopped descending and committed to a climb — and reports the median as a percentage of the day's working band. Higher means the pilot keeps more margin in hand before taking a climb.

Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)(“LowSaves” in tables)
Measured in count · no expected direction

Counts post-start climbs entered below 15% of the working band that went on to gain at least 300 m — genuine low saves. Zero is a real score for a started pilot; the correlation sign says whether digging out or never getting low is what pays.

Climbs per 100 km flown(“Clm/100km” in tables)
Measured in count · lower is better

Post-start thermal count per 100 km of scored flown distance — how often the pilot stops to circle. Each pilot's note adds their mean climb percentile within shared thermals, so few stops can be read together with climb strength.

Search fraction of the speed section(“Search%” in tables)
Measured in percent · lower is better

Share of speed-section time (start to ESS, or landing) spent searching — neither climbing in a thermal nor gliding with real net speed. Lower means less time leaks away between climbs.

Gaggle

Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)(“Affinity” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start flying time spent inside a detected gaggle (clustered with at least one other racing pilot on the shared time grid). Neutral: the correlation sign says whether sticking with company paid on the day.

Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)(“Marked%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start climbs where another pilot was already established (at least 30 s) and still climbing in the same thermal when they joined. High = climbs on others' markers; low = finds their own lift.

Gaggle departure win rate(“DepartWin” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

When a pilot leaves a gaggle that keeps flying, did leaving pay off? We compare the leaver's arrival at the next turnpoint against the median arrival of the pilots who stayed. Win rate > 50% means their departures beat the gaggle. Only pilots still in the gaggle after the split who reached that turnpoint after it count as stayers.

Race craft

Start delay (gate to crossing)(“StartDly” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

Seconds from the start gate taken (or the pilot’s own crossing on elapsed-time tasks, where the delay is 0 by definition) to the scored SSS crossing. The start table adds crossing altitude and how far behind the leading already-started pilot each start was.

Time lost on speed-section legs(“LegLost” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot’s leg time is compared with the mean of the top-10 (by rank) pilots who completed that leg; only losses count, and the losses are summed. Summed leg times are race time and the reference is defined by rank, so this tracks the outcome by construction — read the waterfall table (every leg against the task winner) for the diagnostic, not the correlation for a finding.

Time behind the leader at ESS(“Behind” in tables)
Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, elapsed race time (reaching minus own start) is compared with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint; the scalar is minutes behind at ESS. Expected to track final rank almost perfectly — this metric is the eval’s sanity check.

Altitude margin over final glide at ESS(“ESSMargin” in tables)
Measured in metres · lower is better

Altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the sport’s standard glide ratio (S7F §12.3.6: 5.0 HG / 4.0 PG). A big positive margin is altitude — i.e. time — left unspent.

Required glide ratio when leaving the last climb(“FinalGl” in tables)
Measured in ratio · no expected direction

At the pilot’s last climb before ESS (or landing): distance to goal divided by height above goal — the glide ratio they committed to. Only counted when that climb ended within 1.5× the final leg’s distance of goal.