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Metric details

Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.

Analysis computed

best: could be chance (0.10)

best: some pattern (0.45)

best: clear pattern (0.64)

best: clear pattern (0.73)

#PilotFloor%LowSaveskm/climbSearch%
1Jon Durand38 (7 descents, lowest -12% of band)0.02.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 38%)23
2Neale Halsall30 (7 descents, lowest 11% of band)0.02.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 57%)27
3Mitch Butler33 (9 descents, lowest 2% of band)2.0 (deepest save from 8% of band)2.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 58%)27
4Jason Kath22 (8 descents, lowest -15% of band)2.0 (deepest save from 0% of band)1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)32
5Michael Smith33 (6 descents, lowest -25% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -23% of band)2.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)37
6Paul Bissett-Amess11 (8 descents, lowest -28% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -27% of band)2.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)37
7Richard Martin34 (9 descents, lowest 19% of band)0.01.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 46%)37
8Neil Hooke32 (8 descents, lowest -10% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -3% of band)1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)35
9Bruce Atkinson42 (10 descents, lowest 16% of band)0.0— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)30
10Steve Docherty27 (7 descents, lowest 14% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 14% of band)2.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 52%)32
11Troy Horton40 (8 descents, lowest -23% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -19% of band)1.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%)40
12James Wynd17 (5 descents, lowest -50% of band)0.0— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)33
13Todd Wisewould19 (9 descents, lowest -28% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 11% of band)1.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 37%)46
14Jay Kubeil20 (10 descents, lowest -30% of band)0.00.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)46
15Hughbert Alexander17 (8 descents, lowest -50% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 10% of band)1.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 49%)53
16Adrian Connor63 (10 descents, lowest -36% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -11% of band)0.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%)38
17Ward Gunn2 (7 descents, lowest -36% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -15% of band)1.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 45%)41
18Peter Burkitt69 (6 descents, lowest -1% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 13% of band)1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%)49
19Hossain Tefaili43 (5 descents, lowest -1% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 12% of band)1.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 43%)51
20Randall Clotworthy79 (3 descents, lowest -12% of band)0.0—44
21John Harriott31 (4 descents, lowest -10% of band)0.0—54
22Mick Lamb1 (3 descents, lowest -33% of band)0.0—40
22Tushar Pokle18 (4 descents, lowest -12% of band)0.0—58
24Donny Gardner-13 (3 descents, lowest -21% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -19% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)39
25Paul Lawrence—0.0—13
26Richard Hughes—0.0—66
27Jason Carman—0.0— (instrument records every 10 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)65
28Colin Mackie—0.0—91
29James Atkinson————
29Dean Bayly————
29Dustan Hansen————
29Jason Lannstrom——— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)—
29Keith Lavers————
29James McGinty——— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)—

Distance covered between climbs

Measured in kilometres · higher is better

How far the pilot gets down the course before they must stop and circle again. This is the direct reading of how often they stop. The value is the scored flown distance divided by the number of thermals taken after the start, so 3 km means three kilometres of course for each climb. The pilot must fly 20 km or more. The note of each pilot adds their mean climb percentile inside shared thermals, so you can read the number of stops together with the climb strength. Long legs between weak climbs is a different day from long legs between strong ones. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

6 pilots left out: their instruments record a position only every 5–10 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of race time spent hunting for the next climb

Measured in percent · lower is better

Time that goes into neither a climb nor progress down the course. This is the time spent to find lift, to stay up, and to decide what to do next. The value is the share of the speed-section time, from the start to ESS or to the landing, in which the pilot neither climbed in a thermal nor glided with real net speed. A lower value means less time lost between climbs.

Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 25/31/35% · glide 23/29/33% · search 33/40/50%

best: some pattern (0.43)

best: clear pattern (0.75)

#PilotStartDlyTimeLostBehindSpare mFinalGl
1Jon Durand000.02714.58 (left last climb 8.4 km from goal at 2095 m)
2Neale Halsall028611.11546.21 (left last climb 8.2 km from goal at 1585 m)
3Mitch Butler060617.74014.00 (left last climb 5.1 km from goal at 1550 m)
4Jason Kath037222.72774.05 (left last climb 5.0 km from goal at 1502 m)
5Michael Smith070623.73586.54 (left last climb 7.4 km from goal at 1399 m)
6Paul Bissett-Amess0144524.6-1207.69 (left last climb 4.8 km from goal at 889 m)
7Richard Martin077026.0-1088.34 (left last climb 7.3 km from goal at 1139 m)
8Neil Hooke0131433.02274.38 (left last climb 4.3 km from goal at 1256 m)
9Bruce Atkinson072733.63686.41 (left last climb 9.2 km from goal at 1693 m)
10Steve Docherty0116540.7767.81 (left last climb 10.1 km from goal at 1561 m)
11Troy Horton0225150.22135.00 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 1382 m)
12James Wynd0875——43.84 (left last climb 0.7 km from goal at 280 m)
13Todd Wisewould01313——17.92 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 579 m)
14Jay Kubeil0968——17.47 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 584 m)
15Hughbert Alexander0215——96.10 (left last climb 10.3 km from goal at 371 m)
16Adrian Connor01998———
17Ward Gunn01527———
18Peter Burkitt00———
19Hossain Tefaili01370———
20Randall Clotworthy0————
21John Harriott0————
22Mick Lamb0————
22Tushar Pokle0————
24Donny Gardner0————
25Paul Lawrence0————
26Richard Hughes0————
27Jason Carman0————
28Colin Mackie0————
29James Atkinson—————
29Dean Bayly—————
29Dustan Hansen—————
29Jason Lannstrom—————
29Keith Lavers—————
29James McGinty—————

How long after the gate opened the pilot started

Measured in seconds · lower is better

Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.

Start execution

PilotDelayAlt mBand %Behind km
Jon Durand0:0018418213.1
Neale Halsall0:0018147915.9
Mitch Butler0:001759753.2
Jason Kath0:001912883.6
Michael Smith0:001529550.6
Paul Bissett-Amess0:0016476514.4
Richard Martin0:001628640.2
Neil Hooke0:001596611.0
Bruce Atkinson0:0020109613.4
Steve Docherty0:001607620.7
Troy Horton0:001650660.0
James Wynd0:0018368116.7
Todd Wisewould0:0019849417.9
Jay Kubeil0:0017567515.6
Hughbert Alexander0:0017747613.9
Adrian Connor0:0017097115.0
Ward Gunn0:001518550.2
Peter Burkitt0:0010821813.2
Hossain Tefaili0:0013924417.5
Randall Clotworthy0:0019268917.2
John Harriott0:0016186317.8
Mick Lamb0:001575591.4
Tushar Pokle0:00865-117.1
Donny Gardner0:0010731713.5
Paul Lawrence0:001427470.0
Richard Hughes0:0013774314.0
Jason Carman0:0010731718.1
Colin Mackie0:00805-611.6

Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).

Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg

Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.

+2:40SSS→PINEMT+10:15PINEMT→LIGHTH-1:47LIGHTH→ESS
Neale Halsall, over 3 compared legs: +11:08 overall. — marks a leg the pilot or the winner did not complete; the table below has every pilot.

Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner

PilotSSS→PINEMTPINEMT→LIGHTHLIGHTH→ESSTotal
Jon Durand+0:00+0:00+0:00+0:00
Neale Halsall+2:40+10:15-1:47+11:08
Mitch Butler+24:46-10:15+3:09+17:41
Jason Kath+16:23-1:19+7:38+22:42
Michael Smith+27:29+5:43-9:30+23:42
Paul Bissett-Amess-3:12+1:49+25:58+24:35
Richard Martin+16:27+17:49-8:15+26:01
Neil Hooke+37:51-6:32+1:42+33:02
Bruce Atkinson+19:43+13:51+0:03+33:36
Steve Docherty+17:21+23:31-0:12+40:40
Troy Horton+38:43-5:06+16:37+50:14
James Wynd+11:43+20:04—+31:47
Todd Wisewould+5:12+27:23—+32:35
Jay Kubeil+1:31+21:37—+23:08
Hughbert Alexander+4:38+9:04—+13:42
Adrian Connor+49:14——+49:14
Ward Gunn+41:24——+41:24
Peter Burkitt+15:06——+15:06
Hossain Tefaili+38:47——+38:47

Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.

The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.

Race time behind the leader at ESS

Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.

A line that stops early is a pilot who landed. The top 5 are coloured; the table below has every pilot.

Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint

PilotELLIOTPINEMTLIGHTHTINTAL
Jon Durand0.03.21.40.0
Neale Halsall0.05.914.311.1
Mitch Butler0.028.015.917.7
Jason Kath0.019.616.422.7
Michael Smith0.030.734.623.7
Paul Bissett-Amess0.00.00.024.6
Richard Martin0.019.735.726.0
Neil Hooke0.041.032.733.0
Bruce Atkinson0.022.934.933.6
Steve Docherty0.020.542.240.7
Troy Horton0.041.935.050.2
James Wynd0.014.933.2—
Todd Wisewould0.08.434.0—
Jay Kubeil0.04.724.5—
Hughbert Alexander0.07.815.1—
Adrian Connor0.052.4——
Ward Gunn0.044.6——
Peter Burkitt0.018.3——
Hossain Tefaili0.042.0——
Randall Clotworthy0.0———
John Harriott0.0———
Mick Lamb0.0———
Tushar Pokle0.0———
Donny Gardner0.0———
Paul Lawrence0.0———
Richard Hughes0.0———
Jason Carman0.0———
Colin Mackie0.0———

The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.

Arriving at ESS with height to spare

Measured in metres · lower is better

Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.

ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 249 m (n=10) vs rest median 213 m (n=1).

Final glide committed to when leaving the last climb

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

How optimistic the pilot was about their final glide. A pilot wins or loses a task by the height at which they leave the last climb. At the last climb of the pilot before goal, or before the landing, we divide the distance still to fly to goal, through every turnpoint not yet reached, by their height above goal. That is the glide ratio they committed to. 8 means they left and needed 8:1 to make goal. The value counts only when that climb ended within 1.5 times the length of the last course leg longer than 1 km from goal — when ESS and goal share a waypoint, the zero-length hop between them is not that leg. There is no expected direction: a marginal glide wins if it connects, and loses if it does not. We also give the ratio through the air. The pilot’s own last climb measured the wind, and we remove its effect over the time the glide took. A tailwind makes the glide easier than the number over the ground, and a headwind makes it harder.

Through the air, the wind changed the committed glide by 10% or more for 1 of 3 pilots.

Final glide through the air

PilotOver the groundTailwind (km/h)Through the air
Jon Durand4.6-54.9
Neale Halsall6.2-46.7
Troy Horton5.0-96.0

A negative tailwind is a headwind.