Metric details
Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.
Analysis computed
best: could be chance (0.10)
best: some pattern (0.45)
best: clear pattern (0.64)
best: clear pattern (0.73)
| # | Pilot | Floor% | LowSaves | km/climb | Search% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Durand | 38 (7 descents, lowest -12% of band) | 0.0 | 2.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 38%) | 23 |
| 2 | Neale Halsall | 30 (7 descents, lowest 11% of band) | 0.0 | 2.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 57%) | 27 |
| 3 | Mitch Butler | 33 (9 descents, lowest 2% of band) | 2.0 (deepest save from 8% of band) | 2.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 58%) | 27 |
| 4 | Jason Kath | 22 (8 descents, lowest -15% of band) | 2.0 (deepest save from 0% of band) | 1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%) | 32 |
| 5 | Michael Smith | 33 (6 descents, lowest -25% of band) | 2.0 (deepest save from -23% of band) | 2.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%) | 37 |
| 6 | Paul Bissett-Amess | 11 (8 descents, lowest -28% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from -27% of band) | 2.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%) | 37 |
| 7 | Richard Martin | 34 (9 descents, lowest 19% of band) | 0.0 | 1.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 46%) | 37 |
| 8 | Neil Hooke | 32 (8 descents, lowest -10% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from -3% of band) | 1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%) | 35 |
| 9 | Bruce Atkinson | 42 (10 descents, lowest 16% of band) | 0.0 | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | 30 |
| 10 | Steve Docherty | 27 (7 descents, lowest 14% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from 14% of band) | 2.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 52%) | 32 |
| 11 | Troy Horton | 40 (8 descents, lowest -23% of band) | 2.0 (deepest save from -19% of band) | 1.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%) | 40 |
| 12 | James Wynd | 17 (5 descents, lowest -50% of band) | 0.0 | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | 33 |
| 13 | Todd Wisewould | 19 (9 descents, lowest -28% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from 11% of band) | 1.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 37%) | 46 |
| 14 | Jay Kubeil | 20 (10 descents, lowest -30% of band) | 0.0 | 0.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%) | 46 |
| 15 | Hughbert Alexander | 17 (8 descents, lowest -50% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from 10% of band) | 1.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 49%) | 53 |
| 16 | Adrian Connor | 63 (10 descents, lowest -36% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from -11% of band) | 0.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%) | 38 |
| 17 | Ward Gunn | 2 (7 descents, lowest -36% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from -15% of band) | 1.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 45%) | 41 |
| 18 | Peter Burkitt | 69 (6 descents, lowest -1% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from 13% of band) | 1.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%) | 49 |
| 19 | Hossain Tefaili | 43 (5 descents, lowest -1% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from 12% of band) | 1.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 43%) | 51 |
| 20 | Randall Clotworthy | 79 (3 descents, lowest -12% of band) | 0.0 | — | 44 |
| 21 | John Harriott | 31 (4 descents, lowest -10% of band) | 0.0 | — | 54 |
| 22 | Mick Lamb | 1 (3 descents, lowest -33% of band) | 0.0 | — | 40 |
| 22 | Tushar Pokle | 18 (4 descents, lowest -12% of band) | 0.0 | — | 58 |
| 24 | Donny Gardner | -13 (3 descents, lowest -21% of band) | 1.0 (deepest save from -19% of band) | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | 39 |
| 25 | Paul Lawrence | — | 0.0 | — | 13 |
| 26 | Richard Hughes | — | 0.0 | — | 66 |
| 27 | Jason Carman | — | 0.0 | — (instrument records every 10 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | 65 |
| 28 | Colin Mackie | — | 0.0 | — | 91 |
| 29 | James Atkinson | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Dean Bayly | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Dustan Hansen | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Jason Lannstrom | — | — | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | — |
| 29 | Keith Lavers | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | James McGinty | — | — | — (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster) | — |
Distance covered between climbs
Measured in kilometres · higher is better
How far the pilot gets down the course before they must stop and circle again. This is the direct reading of how often they stop. The value is the scored flown distance divided by the number of thermals taken after the start, so 3 km means three kilometres of course for each climb. The pilot must fly 20 km or more. The note of each pilot adds their mean climb percentile inside shared thermals, so you can read the number of stops together with the climb strength. Long legs between weak climbs is a different day from long legs between strong ones. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.
6 pilots left out: their instruments record a position only every 5–10 s, too seldom for this measure.
Share of race time spent hunting for the next climb
Measured in percent · lower is better
Time that goes into neither a climb nor progress down the course. This is the time spent to find lift, to stay up, and to decide what to do next. The value is the share of the speed-section time, from the start to ESS or to the landing, in which the pilot neither climbed in a thermal nor glided with real net speed. A lower value means less time lost between climbs.
Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 25/31/35% · glide 23/29/33% · search 33/40/50%
best: some pattern (0.43)
best: clear pattern (0.75)
| # | Pilot | StartDly | TimeLost | Behind | Spare m | FinalGl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Durand | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 271 | 4.58 (left last climb 8.4 km from goal at 2095 m) |
| 2 | Neale Halsall | 0 | 286 | 11.1 | 154 | 6.21 (left last climb 8.2 km from goal at 1585 m) |
| 3 | Mitch Butler | 0 | 606 | 17.7 | 401 | 4.00 (left last climb 5.1 km from goal at 1550 m) |
| 4 | Jason Kath | 0 | 372 | 22.7 | 277 | 4.05 (left last climb 5.0 km from goal at 1502 m) |
| 5 | Michael Smith | 0 | 706 | 23.7 | 358 | 6.54 (left last climb 7.4 km from goal at 1399 m) |
| 6 | Paul Bissett-Amess | 0 | 1445 | 24.6 | -120 | 7.69 (left last climb 4.8 km from goal at 889 m) |
| 7 | Richard Martin | 0 | 770 | 26.0 | -108 | 8.34 (left last climb 7.3 km from goal at 1139 m) |
| 8 | Neil Hooke | 0 | 1314 | 33.0 | 227 | 4.38 (left last climb 4.3 km from goal at 1256 m) |
| 9 | Bruce Atkinson | 0 | 727 | 33.6 | 368 | 6.41 (left last climb 9.2 km from goal at 1693 m) |
| 10 | Steve Docherty | 0 | 1165 | 40.7 | 76 | 7.81 (left last climb 10.1 km from goal at 1561 m) |
| 11 | Troy Horton | 0 | 2251 | 50.2 | 213 | 5.00 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 1382 m) |
| 12 | James Wynd | 0 | 875 | — | — | 43.84 (left last climb 0.7 km from goal at 280 m) |
| 13 | Todd Wisewould | 0 | 1313 | — | — | 17.92 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 579 m) |
| 14 | Jay Kubeil | 0 | 968 | — | — | 17.47 (left last climb 5.6 km from goal at 584 m) |
| 15 | Hughbert Alexander | 0 | 215 | — | — | 96.10 (left last climb 10.3 km from goal at 371 m) |
| 16 | Adrian Connor | 0 | 1998 | — | — | — |
| 17 | Ward Gunn | 0 | 1527 | — | — | — |
| 18 | Peter Burkitt | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 19 | Hossain Tefaili | 0 | 1370 | — | — | — |
| 20 | Randall Clotworthy | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | John Harriott | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Mick Lamb | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Tushar Pokle | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Donny Gardner | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Paul Lawrence | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Richard Hughes | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 27 | Jason Carman | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 28 | Colin Mackie | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | James Atkinson | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Dean Bayly | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Dustan Hansen | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Jason Lannstrom | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Keith Lavers | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | James McGinty | — | — | — | — | — |
How long after the gate opened the pilot started
Measured in seconds · lower is better
Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.
Start execution
| Pilot | Delay | Alt m | Band % | Behind km |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Durand | 0:00 | 1841 | 82 | 13.1 |
| Neale Halsall | 0:00 | 1814 | 79 | 15.9 |
| Mitch Butler | 0:00 | 1759 | 75 | 3.2 |
| Jason Kath | 0:00 | 1912 | 88 | 3.6 |
| Michael Smith | 0:00 | 1529 | 55 | 0.6 |
| Paul Bissett-Amess | 0:00 | 1647 | 65 | 14.4 |
| Richard Martin | 0:00 | 1628 | 64 | 0.2 |
| Neil Hooke | 0:00 | 1596 | 61 | 1.0 |
| Bruce Atkinson | 0:00 | 2010 | 96 | 13.4 |
| Steve Docherty | 0:00 | 1607 | 62 | 0.7 |
| Troy Horton | 0:00 | 1650 | 66 | 0.0 |
| James Wynd | 0:00 | 1836 | 81 | 16.7 |
| Todd Wisewould | 0:00 | 1984 | 94 | 17.9 |
| Jay Kubeil | 0:00 | 1756 | 75 | 15.6 |
| Hughbert Alexander | 0:00 | 1774 | 76 | 13.9 |
| Adrian Connor | 0:00 | 1709 | 71 | 15.0 |
| Ward Gunn | 0:00 | 1518 | 55 | 0.2 |
| Peter Burkitt | 0:00 | 1082 | 18 | 13.2 |
| Hossain Tefaili | 0:00 | 1392 | 44 | 17.5 |
| Randall Clotworthy | 0:00 | 1926 | 89 | 17.2 |
| John Harriott | 0:00 | 1618 | 63 | 17.8 |
| Mick Lamb | 0:00 | 1575 | 59 | 1.4 |
| Tushar Pokle | 0:00 | 865 | -1 | 17.1 |
| Donny Gardner | 0:00 | 1073 | 17 | 13.5 |
| Paul Lawrence | 0:00 | 1427 | 47 | 0.0 |
| Richard Hughes | 0:00 | 1377 | 43 | 14.0 |
| Jason Carman | 0:00 | 1073 | 17 | 18.1 |
| Colin Mackie | 0:00 | 805 | -6 | 11.6 |
Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).
Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg
Measured in seconds · lower is better
For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.
Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner
| Pilot | SSS→PINEMT | PINEMT→LIGHTH | LIGHTH→ESS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Durand | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 |
| Neale Halsall | +2:40 | +10:15 | -1:47 | +11:08 |
| Mitch Butler | +24:46 | -10:15 | +3:09 | +17:41 |
| Jason Kath | +16:23 | -1:19 | +7:38 | +22:42 |
| Michael Smith | +27:29 | +5:43 | -9:30 | +23:42 |
| Paul Bissett-Amess | -3:12 | +1:49 | +25:58 | +24:35 |
| Richard Martin | +16:27 | +17:49 | -8:15 | +26:01 |
| Neil Hooke | +37:51 | -6:32 | +1:42 | +33:02 |
| Bruce Atkinson | +19:43 | +13:51 | +0:03 | +33:36 |
| Steve Docherty | +17:21 | +23:31 | -0:12 | +40:40 |
| Troy Horton | +38:43 | -5:06 | +16:37 | +50:14 |
| James Wynd | +11:43 | +20:04 | — | +31:47 |
| Todd Wisewould | +5:12 | +27:23 | — | +32:35 |
| Jay Kubeil | +1:31 | +21:37 | — | +23:08 |
| Hughbert Alexander | +4:38 | +9:04 | — | +13:42 |
| Adrian Connor | +49:14 | — | — | +49:14 |
| Ward Gunn | +41:24 | — | — | +41:24 |
| Peter Burkitt | +15:06 | — | — | +15:06 |
| Hossain Tefaili | +38:47 | — | — | +38:47 |
Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.
The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.
Race time behind the leader at ESS
Measured in minutes · lower is better
At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.
Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint
| Pilot | ELLIOT | PINEMT | LIGHTH | TINTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Durand | 0.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Neale Halsall | 0.0 | 5.9 | 14.3 | 11.1 |
| Mitch Butler | 0.0 | 28.0 | 15.9 | 17.7 |
| Jason Kath | 0.0 | 19.6 | 16.4 | 22.7 |
| Michael Smith | 0.0 | 30.7 | 34.6 | 23.7 |
| Paul Bissett-Amess | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.6 |
| Richard Martin | 0.0 | 19.7 | 35.7 | 26.0 |
| Neil Hooke | 0.0 | 41.0 | 32.7 | 33.0 |
| Bruce Atkinson | 0.0 | 22.9 | 34.9 | 33.6 |
| Steve Docherty | 0.0 | 20.5 | 42.2 | 40.7 |
| Troy Horton | 0.0 | 41.9 | 35.0 | 50.2 |
| James Wynd | 0.0 | 14.9 | 33.2 | — |
| Todd Wisewould | 0.0 | 8.4 | 34.0 | — |
| Jay Kubeil | 0.0 | 4.7 | 24.5 | — |
| Hughbert Alexander | 0.0 | 7.8 | 15.1 | — |
| Adrian Connor | 0.0 | 52.4 | — | — |
| Ward Gunn | 0.0 | 44.6 | — | — |
| Peter Burkitt | 0.0 | 18.3 | — | — |
| Hossain Tefaili | 0.0 | 42.0 | — | — |
| Randall Clotworthy | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| John Harriott | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Mick Lamb | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Tushar Pokle | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Donny Gardner | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Paul Lawrence | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Richard Hughes | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Jason Carman | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Colin Mackie | 0.0 | — | — | — |
The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.
Arriving at ESS with height to spare
Measured in metres · lower is better
Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.
ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 249 m (n=10) vs rest median 213 m (n=1).
Final glide committed to when leaving the last climb
Measured in ratio · no expected direction
How optimistic the pilot was about their final glide. A pilot wins or loses a task by the height at which they leave the last climb. At the last climb of the pilot before goal, or before the landing, we divide the distance still to fly to goal, through every turnpoint not yet reached, by their height above goal. That is the glide ratio they committed to. 8 means they left and needed 8:1 to make goal. The value counts only when that climb ended within 1.5 times the length of the last course leg longer than 1 km from goal — when ESS and goal share a waypoint, the zero-length hop between them is not that leg. There is no expected direction: a marginal glide wins if it connects, and loses if it does not. We also give the ratio through the air. The pilot’s own last climb measured the wind, and we remove its effect over the time the glide took. A tailwind makes the glide easier than the number over the ground, and a headwind makes it harder.
Through the air, the wind changed the committed glide by 10% or more for 1 of 3 pilots.
Final glide through the air
| Pilot | Over the ground | Tailwind (km/h) | Through the air |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Durand | 4.6 | -5 | 4.9 |
| Neale Halsall | 6.2 | -4 | 6.7 |
| Troy Horton | 5.0 | -9 | 6.0 |
A negative tailwind is a headwind.