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Metric details

Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.

Analysis computed

best: could be chance (0.30)

best: clear pattern (0.84)

#PilotOut-climbCore sLeaveRateKept%TopOut%Round
1Jon Durand72 (10 shared climbs)37 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (10/15 circling bouts led to climbs)72 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band)0.18 (170 circles, 16% left)
2Mitch Butler64 (48 shared climbs)36 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)70 (14/20 circling bouts led to climbs)79 (mean on-course altitude 67% of band)— (instrument records every 4 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
3James Wynd58 (34 shared climbs)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)1.1 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)57 (12/21 circling bouts led to climbs)68 (mean on-course altitude 50% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
4Richard Martin67 (48 shared climbs)38 (16 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)58 (11/19 circling bouts led to climbs)63 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.19 (320 circles, 29% left)
5Todd Wisewould66 (38 shared climbs)41 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (8/12 circling bouts led to climbs)80 (mean on-course altitude 75% of band)0.15 (209 circles, 29% left)
6Steve Docherty67 (50 shared climbs)51 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)76 (13/17 circling bouts led to climbs)64 (mean on-course altitude 47% of band)— (instrument records every 3 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
7Jason Kath80 (25 shared climbs)33 (15 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (6/12 circling bouts led to climbs)70 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.16 (161 circles, 26% left)
8Michael Smith77 (10 shared climbs)67 (10 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (8 climbs ≥ 90 s)56 (9/16 circling bouts led to climbs)67 (mean on-course altitude 58% of band)0.15 (130 circles, 18% left)
9Mick Lamb73 (33 shared climbs)40 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (7 climbs ≥ 90 s)75 (12/16 circling bouts led to climbs)57 (mean on-course altitude 54% of band)0.20 (99 circles, 61% left)
10Paul Bissett-Amess68 (18 shared climbs)39 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)38 (6/16 circling bouts led to climbs)57 (mean on-course altitude 40% of band)0.19 (149 circles, 46% left)
11Neale Halsall67 (35 shared climbs)33 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s)57 (8/14 circling bouts led to climbs)85 (mean on-course altitude 67% of band)0.14 (171 circles, 11% left)
12Hughbert Alexander74 (28 shared climbs)64 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)50 (mean on-course altitude 50% of band)0.17 (116 circles, 30% left)
13Peter Burkitt77 (14 shared climbs)44 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (4/6 circling bouts led to climbs)40 (mean on-course altitude 32% of band)0.18 (76 circles, 45% left)
14Scotty Ireland—34 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)80 (4/5 circling bouts led to climbs)3 (mean on-course altitude 17% of band)0.21 (86 circles, 99% left)
15Tushar Pokle62 (42 shared climbs)32 (9 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (8 climbs ≥ 90 s)100 (4/4 circling bouts led to climbs)54 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.15 (230 circles, 56% left)
15Jay Kubeil54 (53 shared climbs)33 (9 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.2 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)40 (2/5 circling bouts led to climbs)23 (mean on-course altitude 31% of band)0.16 (159 circles, 47% left)
17John Harriott76 (17 shared climbs)15 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)33 (3/9 circling bouts led to climbs)54 (mean on-course altitude 47% of band)0.16 (61 circles, 2% left)
18Bruce Atkinson75 (22 shared climbs)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)0.9 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)33 (3/9 circling bouts led to climbs)10 (mean on-course altitude 17% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
19Donny Gardner52 (7 shared climbs)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)0.8 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)38 (3/8 circling bouts led to climbs)49 (mean on-course altitude 35% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
20Jason Carman—66 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)56 (5/9 circling bouts led to climbs)-3 (mean on-course altitude 27% of band)0.21 (55 circles, 36% left)
21Steven Crosby52 (28 shared climbs)11 (3 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (1 climb ≥ 90 s)33 (1/3 circling bouts led to climbs)6 (mean on-course altitude 10% of band)0.16 (111 circles, 17% left)
22Peter Adriaans61 (16 shared climbs)57 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (2/4 circling bouts led to climbs)7 (mean on-course altitude 2% of band)0.16 (104 circles, 12% left)
23Hossain Tefaili81 (8 shared climbs)17 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)——0.15 (48 circles, 13% left)
24Adrian Connor63 (13 shared climbs)7 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.8 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/3 circling bouts led to climbs)—0.18 (49 circles, 2% left)
25Dustan Hansen68 (15 shared climbs)38 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/3 circling bouts led to climbs)—0.19 (78 circles, 14% left)
26James Atkinson38 (4 shared climbs)————0.22 (32 circles, 0% left)
26Randall Clotworthy—————— (3 circles, 67% left)
26Marcus De Vecchi37 (1 shared climb)————0.13 (20 circles, 5% left)
26Neil Hooke80 (5 shared climbs)75 (2 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (1 climb ≥ 90 s)——0.12 (93 circles, 27% left)
26Jason Lannstrom7 (1 shared climb)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)———— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 2 s or faster)
26Keith Lavers45 (5 shared climbs)————0.16 (19 circles, 0% left)
26Paul Lawrence—————— (4 circles, 25% left)
26Colin Mackie—————— (2 circles, 0% left)

Time to core thermals

Measured in seconds · no expected direction

How long the pilot takes to get into the best lift after they arrive in a thermal. For each thermal of 60 s or more, we measure the seconds from the entry until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the thermals of the pilot. There is no expected direction. Time spent working into the core is not lost if the pilot ends up in the better lift, so the sign of the correlation says whether the hunt paid on this day. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

4 pilots left out: their instruments record a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb

Measured in percent · no expected direction

How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
8610
6721
5614
06
782

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

How round and consistent the circles were

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position less often than every 2 seconds. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

Turn direction across the field: 31% left (2882 circles).

6 pilots left out: their instruments record a position only every 3–5 s, too seldom for this measure.

best: some pattern (0.50)

best: clear pattern (0.80)

#PilotFloor%LowSaveskm/climbSearch%
1Jon Durand51 (8 descents, lowest -17% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -14% of band)2.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 57%)29
2Mitch Butler63 (10 descents, lowest -4% of band)0.01.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 44%)29
3James Wynd54 (9 descents, lowest -6% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -10% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)32
4Richard Martin42 (9 descents, lowest -21% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -20% of band)1.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%)46
5Todd Wisewould41 (6 descents, lowest 35% of band)0.02.9 (mean shared-climb pctile 46%)29
6Steve Docherty52 (11 descents, lowest -26% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 4% of band)1.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 46%)32
7Jason Kath47 (5 descents, lowest -19% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 0% of band)3.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 59%)32
8Michael Smith37 (6 descents, lowest 18% of band)0.02.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 52%)49
9Mick Lamb22 (16 descents, lowest -23% of band)0.01.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 58%)37
10Paul Bissett-Amess15 (4 descents, lowest -23% of band)0.02.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 55%)46
11Neale Halsall48 (5 descents, lowest 15% of band)0.01.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 48%)31
12Hughbert Alexander26 (12 descents, lowest -50% of band)0.01.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%)49
13Peter Burkitt19 (3 descents, lowest -37% of band)0.02.3 (mean shared-climb pctile 65%)62
14Scotty Ireland-19 (2 descents, lowest -28% of band)0.01.235
15Tushar Pokle14 (2 descents, lowest -21% of band)0.0—42
15Jay Kubeil—0.0—45
17John Harriott39 (2 descents, lowest 36% of band)0.0—66
18Bruce Atkinson4 (2 descents, lowest -23% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 10% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)43
19Donny Gardner—1.0 (deepest save from -5% of band)— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)38
20Jason Carman—0.0—56
21Steven Crosby—0.0—62
22Peter Adriaans—1.0 (deepest save from -18% of band)—49
23Hossain Tefaili—0.0—47
24Adrian Connor—0.0—62
25Dustan Hansen—0.0—66
26James Atkinson————
26Randall Clotworthy————
26Marcus De Vecchi————
26Neil Hooke————
26Jason Lannstrom——— (instrument records every 5 s; this measure needs every 4 s or faster)—
26Keith Lavers————
26Paul Lawrence————
26Colin Mackie————

Distance covered between climbs

Measured in kilometres · higher is better

How far the pilot gets down the course before they must stop and circle again. This is the direct reading of how often they stop. The value is the scored flown distance divided by the number of thermals taken after the start, so 3 km means three kilometres of course for each climb. The pilot must fly 20 km or more. The note of each pilot adds their mean climb percentile inside shared thermals, so you can read the number of stops together with the climb strength. Long legs between weak climbs is a different day from long legs between strong ones. We leave out a pilot whose instrument records a position only every 5 seconds or less often. A track that coarse cannot show this detail, and the pilot would seem to fly differently when they do not.

4 pilots left out: their instruments record a position only every 5 s, too seldom for this measure.

Share of race time spent hunting for the next climb

Measured in percent · lower is better

Time that goes into neither a climb nor progress down the course. This is the time spent to find lift, to stay up, and to decide what to do next. The value is the share of the speed-section time, from the start to ESS or to the landing, in which the pilot neither climbed in a thermal nor glided with real net speed. A lower value means less time lost between climbs.

Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 22/27/34% · glide 27/31/35% · search 32/45/49%

best: clear pattern (0.61)

best: too few pilots (0.75)

#PilotStartDlyTimeLostBehindSpare mFinalGl
1Jon Durand05220.059.21 (left last climb 8.8 km from goal at 1242 m)
2Mitch Butler054713.42378.55 (left last climb 9.7 km from goal at 1421 m)
3James Wynd0118233.04957.43 (left last climb 9.3 km from goal at 1546 m)
4Richard Martin0183836.9359.18 (left last climb 8.8 km from goal at 1245 m)
5Todd Wisewould023——10.87 (left last climb 19.2 km from goal at 2056 m)
6Steve Docherty0348——21.05 (left last climb 7.4 km from goal at 641 m)
7Jason Kath00———
8Michael Smith00———
9Mick Lamb0673——34.87 (left last climb 11.9 km from goal at 632 m)
10Paul Bissett-Amess0365———
11Neale Halsall0216———
12Hughbert Alexander0322———
13Peter Burkitt00———
14Scotty Ireland00———
15Tushar Pokle0878———
15Jay Kubeil01166———
17John Harriott0709———
18Bruce Atkinson0271———
19Donny Gardner01974———
20Jason Carman00———
21Steven Crosby0————
22Peter Adriaans0————
23Hossain Tefaili0————
24Adrian Connor0————
25Dustan Hansen0————
26James Atkinson—————
26Randall Clotworthy—————
26Marcus De Vecchi—————
26Neil Hooke—————
26Jason Lannstrom—————
26Keith Lavers—————
26Paul Lawrence—————
26Colin Mackie—————

How long after the gate opened the pilot started

Measured in seconds · lower is better

Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.

Start execution

PilotDelayAlt mBand %Behind km
Jon Durand0:001471711.0
Mitch Butler0:001490727.0
James Wynd0:001603843.9
Richard Martin0:001601844.4
Todd Wisewould0:0018701119.5
Steve Docherty0:001472714.1
Jason Kath0:0016779110.5
Michael Smith0:001396630.1
Mick Lamb0:001712959.9
Paul Bissett-Amess0:001698944.3
Neale Halsall0:001510749.2
Hughbert Alexander0:001388629.8
Peter Burkitt0:001326560.0
Scotty Ireland0:001332570.0
Tushar Pokle0:001594839.5
Jay Kubeil0:001305548.1
John Harriott0:001289524.1
Bruce Atkinson0:001363604.1
Donny Gardner0:001554796.4
Jason Carman0:0018231067.1
Steven Crosby0:001351586.1
Peter Adriaans0:001377615.2
Hossain Tefaili0:001256495.5
Adrian Connor0:001089324.8
Dustan Hansen0:0012284610.0

Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).

Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg

Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.

+3:27SSS→GRGGRG+6:56GRGGRG→MTMITA+13:53MTMITA→CUDGWE-10:52CUDGWE→ESS
Mitch Butler, over 4 compared legs: +13:24 overall. — marks a leg the pilot or the winner did not complete; the table below has every pilot.

Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner

PilotSSS→GRGGRGGRGGRG→MTMITAMTMITA→CUDGWECUDGWE→ESSTotal
Jon Durand+0:00+0:00+0:00+0:00+0:00
Mitch Butler+3:27+6:56+13:53-10:52+13:24
James Wynd+7:33+25:10+8:30-8:10+33:02
Richard Martin+2:31+18:32+31:38-15:47+36:53
Todd Wisewould+2:30+12:13+2:47—+17:30
Steve Docherty+2:21+19:22-2:43—+19:01
Jason Kath-5:13+5:37-2:40—-2:17
Michael Smith+1:22+13:37-3:07—+11:52
Mick Lamb-1:37+24:27+6:41—+29:31
Paul Bissett-Amess+8:12+12:18——+20:29
Neale Halsall+5:42+8:24——+14:06
Hughbert Alexander+7:28———+7:28
Peter Burkitt+0:59———+0:59
Scotty Ireland+0:16———+0:16
Tushar Pokle+16:45———+16:45
Jay Kubeil+21:32———+21:32
John Harriott+13:55———+13:55
Bruce Atkinson+6:37———+6:37
Donny Gardner+35:01———+35:01
Jason Carman-0:00———-0:00

Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.

The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.

Race time behind the leader at ESS

Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.

A line that stops early is a pilot who landed. The top 5 are coloured; the table below has every pilot.

Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint

PilotELLIOTGRGGRGMTMITACUDGWECORRY
Jon Durand0.05.20.02.30.0
Mitch Butler0.08.710.426.513.4
James Wynd0.012.832.743.533.0
Richard Martin0.07.721.054.936.9
Todd Wisewould0.07.714.719.8—
Steve Docherty0.07.621.721.3—
Jason Kath0.00.00.40.0—
Michael Smith0.06.615.014.1—
Mick Lamb0.03.622.831.8—
Paul Bissett-Amess0.013.420.5——
Neale Halsall0.010.914.1——
Hughbert Alexander0.012.7———
Peter Burkitt0.06.2———
Scotty Ireland0.05.5———
Tushar Pokle0.022.0———
Jay Kubeil0.026.8———
John Harriott0.019.1———
Bruce Atkinson0.011.8———
Donny Gardner0.040.2———
Jason Carman0.05.2———
Steven Crosby0.0————
Peter Adriaans0.0————
Hossain Tefaili0.0————
Adrian Connor0.0————
Dustan Hansen0.0————

The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.

Arriving at ESS with height to spare

Measured in metres · lower is better

Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.

ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 136 m (n=4).

Final glide committed to when leaving the last climb

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

How optimistic the pilot was about their final glide. A pilot wins or loses a task by the height at which they leave the last climb. At the last climb of the pilot before goal, or before the landing, we divide the distance still to fly to goal, through every turnpoint not yet reached, by their height above goal. That is the glide ratio they committed to. 8 means they left and needed 8:1 to make goal. The value counts only when that climb ended within 1.5 times the length of the last course leg longer than 1 km from goal — when ESS and goal share a waypoint, the zero-length hop between them is not that leg. There is no expected direction: a marginal glide wins if it connects, and loses if it does not. We also give the ratio through the air. The pilot’s own last climb measured the wind, and we remove its effect over the time the glide took. A tailwind makes the glide easier than the number over the ground, and a headwind makes it harder.

Through the air, the wind changed the committed glide by 10% or more for 1 of 1 pilot.

Final glide through the air

PilotOver the groundTailwind (km/h)Through the air
Jon Durand9.2+97.6

A negative tailwind is a headwind.