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Task 3 (Open)

How the field actually flew this task, and which behaviours separated it.

Analysis computed

Pilots analysed
26
Sampling
every 10s
Shared thermals
42 of 215multi-pilot
Working band
8692570 m
Phase coverage
100%

5 pilots are in the standings but not in this analysis:

  • Steve Normanscored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse
  • Jason Carmanscored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse
  • Pete Boltonscored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse
  • Randall Clotworthyscored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse
  • Tushar Poklescored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse

Correlations are measured against the published ranks, which include these pilots; their behaviour simply cannot be measured without a tracklog.

What separated the field

Each metric's Spearman correlation against the published rank. Rank 1 is best, so a metric where more is better shows a negative ρ. Bigger bars mean the metric separated the field more sharply on this task. Select a row to see that metric plotted against rank.

MetricρStrengthnVerdictFamily
Glide speed (post-start)-0.79
23strongGliding
Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band-0.66
23strongClimbing
Glide L/D vs field (per leg)-0.63
17strongGliding
Search fraction of the speed section0.61
24strongDecision-making
Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)-0.55
20strongDecision-making
Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)-0.53
24strongGaggle
Altitude margin over final glide at ESS0.52
12within noiseRace craft
Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)0.52
19strongGliding
Climbs per 100 km flown0.46
17within noiseDecision-making
Time to core a thermal0.45
24moderateClimbing
Speed-to-fly proxy-0.27
19within noiseGliding
Start delay (gate to crossing)0.22
24within noiseRace craft
Circle fit error relative to circle radius0.22
25within noiseClimbing
Dolphin climb fraction-0.20
20within noiseGliding
Time in non-sinking air0.20
26within noiseDay profile & wind
Climb rate vs field in shared thermals-0.11
23within noiseClimbing
Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)0.09
20within noiseGaggle
Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs-0.06
22within noiseClimbing
Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)0.04
24within noiseDecision-making
Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal-0.02
24within noiseClimbing

Verdicts: strong |ρ| ≥ 0.5, moderate ≥ 0.3, weak below — but only after clearing the noise floor for that metric's n. within noise means shuffled ranks produce a coefficient that size more than 5% of the time, so it is indistinguishable from luck whatever its magnitude.

With 20 metrics ranked on this one task, the top rows are partly selection luck — trust the metrics that repeat across tasks in the competition-level analysis.

Glide speed (post-start)

Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Each dot is a pilot: across is the metric's value, up is a better rank. ρ = -0.79 (strong, n = 23). More is expected to be better here, and it was: top ranks gather to the right. 3 pilots have no value and are not plotted.
  • Field glide speed: median 56.2 km/h · p90 65.5 km/h (23 pilots)

Outcome checks

These metrics are derived from the race outcome itself, so they correlate with rank by construction — a low |ρ| here questions the eval, not the flying. Their per-pilot diagnostics stay in the Race craft section below.

MetricρStrengthnVerdict
Time behind the leader at ESS1.00
12strong
Time lost on speed-section legs0.41
19within noise

The whole field at a glance

1. Rohan Holtkamp
2. Adam Stevens
3. Tony Cross
4. Harrison Rowntree
5. Sam Prest
6. Todd Wisewould
7. Andy Schmidt
8. Steve Norman
9. Steve Blenkinsop
10. Neale Halsall
11. James Wynd
12. Hughbert Alexander
13. Bruce Atkinson
14. Keith Lavers
15. Peter Adriaans
17. Dave Moore
18. Mark Divito
19. Michael Free
20. Richard Hughes
21. Dean Bayly
22. Anthony Meechan
23. Neil Hooke
24. James Atkinson
25. Mitch Butler
26. Ollie Chitty
27. James McGinty
Pilots in rank order against every metric: darker = a better percentile in this field (empty = not applicable). Column order follows the family sections below, which carry the exact values. † No good/bad direction — shade is position in the field, not quality.

Pilot style clusters

Groups are flying style, not score — the rank spread on each shows where that style did and did not pay. Each group is named after its strongest signature; ★ marks the pilot most typical of their group.

Group AQuick corers

12 pilots · ranks 122 · median 7 · middle half 3.812.8

  • LowTime to core a thermal group median P24 in this field (45 seconds) · usually a strength
  • HighGlide speed (post-start) group median P73 in this field (62.4 kilometres per hour) · usually a strength
  • LowCircle fit error relative to circle radius group median P31 in this field (0.15 ratio) · usually a strength
  • HighGaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle) group median P67 in this field (14 percent)
  • 1. Rohan Holtkamp
  • 2. Adam Stevens
  • 3. Tony Cross
  • 4. Harrison Rowntree
  • 5. Sam Prest
  • 6. Todd Wisewould
  • 8. Steve Norman
  • 10. Neale Halsall (most typical of this group)
  • 12. Hughbert Alexander
  • 15. Peter Adriaans
  • 17. Dave Moore
  • 22. Anthony Meechan

Group BThermal milkers

10 pilots · ranks 726 · median 16 · middle half 11.519.8

  • LowClimb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal group median P20 in this field (0.9 metres per second)
  • HighStart delay (gate to crossing) group median P80 in this field (605 seconds) · usually costly
  • LowClimbs per 100 km flown group median P20 in this field (30.3 count) · usually a strength
  • LowDolphin climb fraction group median P21 in this field (6 percent)
  • 7. Andy Schmidt
  • 9. Steve Blenkinsop
  • 11. James Wynd
  • 13. Bruce Atkinson
  • 14. Keith Lavers
  • 18. Mark Divito
  • 19. Michael Free
  • 20. Richard Hughes
  • 21. Dean Bayly (most typical of this group)
  • 26. Ollie Chitty

Not clustered: 23. Neil Hooke — only 8 of 20 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 24. James Atkinson — only 2 of 20 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 25. Mitch Butler — only 1 of 20 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 27. James McGinty — only 11 of 20 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%).

Pilots are grouped by flying style, not by score: every behavioural metric is rank-transformed to a within-field percentile, pilots are compared by the mean percentile gap over the metrics both have (missing values are never imputed), and Ward-linkage agglomeration forms the groups, with the number of groups chosen by the best mean silhouette. Each group is annotated with the GAP-rank spread of its members — where a style did and did not pay. Here: 22 pilots on 20 behavioural metrics formed 2 groups (k searched 26); mean silhouette 0.14 — near 0 means soft group boundaries, near 1 tight well-separated groups.

The metrics in detail

strongest |ρ| 0.20

strongest |ρ| 0.66

#PilotSharedPctCore sExitDecayAccept%ExitBand%Smooth
1Rohan Holtkamp71 (31 shared climbs)47 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (6/11 circling bouts led to climbs)76 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band)0.14 (137 circles, 80% left)
2Adam Stevens57 (34 shared climbs)36 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)58 (7/12 circling bouts led to climbs)85 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band)0.18 (211 circles, 77% left)
3Tony Cross66 (16 shared climbs)57 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (6/11 circling bouts led to climbs)81 (mean on-course altitude 65% of band)0.15 (160 circles, 86% left)
4Harrison Rowntree68 (27 shared climbs)57 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)47 (7/15 circling bouts led to climbs)66 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band)0.17 (103 circles, 67% left)
5Sam Prest63 (44 shared climbs)36 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.8 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)83 (5/6 circling bouts led to climbs)93 (mean on-course altitude 66% of band)0.15 (109 circles, 69% left)
6Todd Wisewould69 (45 shared climbs)37 (26 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.6 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s)70 (7/10 circling bouts led to climbs)94 (mean on-course altitude 71% of band)0.15 (210 circles, 63% left)
7Andy Schmidt46 (24 shared climbs)49 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (16 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (8/11 circling bouts led to climbs)78 (mean on-course altitude 61% of band)0.18 (103 circles, 66% left)
8Steve Norman58 (12 shared climbs)40 (12 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.6 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (11/15 circling bouts led to climbs)65 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band)0.12 (82 circles, 33% left)
9Steve Blenkinsop81 (11 shared climbs)89 (9 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (8 climbs ≥ 90 s)40 (4/10 circling bouts led to climbs)74 (mean on-course altitude 43% of band)0.24 (153 circles, 37% left)
10Neale Halsall73 (23 shared climbs)52 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)75 (12/16 circling bouts led to climbs)55 (mean on-course altitude 53% of band)0.18 (142 circles, 30% left)
11James Wynd52 (11 shared climbs)76 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.2 (17 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (12/22 circling bouts led to climbs)95 (mean on-course altitude 68% of band)0.28 (22 circles, 59% left)
12Hughbert Alexander83 (25 shared climbs)42 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)2.1 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)80 (12/15 circling bouts led to climbs)34 (mean on-course altitude 39% of band)0.15 (168 circles, 60% left)
13Bruce Atkinson68 (26 shared climbs)55 (16 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)66 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.17 (129 circles, 91% left)
14Keith Lavers59 (10 shared climbs)75 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (8/11 circling bouts led to climbs)68 (mean on-course altitude 51% of band)0.20 (11 circles, 82% left)
15Peter Adriaans66 (31 shared climbs)48 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (6/9 circling bouts led to climbs)64 (mean on-course altitude 50% of band)0.19 (91 circles, 34% left)
17Dave Moore63 (32 shared climbs)41 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.1 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (6/11 circling bouts led to climbs)63 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.14 (136 circles, 71% left)
18Mark Divito62 (17 shared climbs)55 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (9 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)14 (mean on-course altitude 25% of band)0.13 (184 circles, 100% left)
19Michael Free71 (6 shared climbs)60 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (6/9 circling bouts led to climbs)99 (mean on-course altitude 68% of band)0.22 (19 circles, 42% left)
20Richard Hughes44 (4 shared climbs)58 (10 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.8 (7 climbs ≥ 90 s)64 (7/11 circling bouts led to climbs)50 (mean on-course altitude 51% of band)0.16 (220 circles, 47% left)
21Dean Bayly12 (2 shared climbs)63 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.5 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (2/3 circling bouts led to climbs)4 (mean on-course altitude 5% of band)0.23 (30 circles, 70% left)
22Anthony Meechan67 (12 shared climbs)48 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (2/4 circling bouts led to climbs)62 (mean on-course altitude 29% of band)0.18 (61 circles, 100% left)
23Neil Hooke68 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.8 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)0.12 (107 circles, 76% left)
24James Atkinson0.26 (20 circles, 95% left)
25Mitch Butler
26Ollie Chitty56 (3 shared climbs)140 (2 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)20 (1/5 circling bouts led to climbs)2 (mean on-course altitude -4% of band)0.16 (26 circles, 100% left)
27James McGinty100 (1 shared climb)53 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.6 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)-7 (mean on-course altitude -1% of band)0.20 (14 circles, 0% left)

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs

Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
501
6719
6720
3514

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

Circle fit error relative to circle radius

Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Turn direction across the field: 66% left (2648 circles).

strongest |ρ| 0.79

#PilotGlideSpdL/D vs fSTFproxyTrackEffDolphin%
1Rohan Holtkamp66.9 (11 glides, 43 min gliding)1.02 (4 legs compared)5.0 (10 glide→climb pairs)1.20 (5 legs completed)12 (439 of 3671 m gained outside thermals)
2Adam Stevens63.7 (13 glides, 47 min gliding)1.15 (3 legs compared)5.5 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.32 (5 legs completed)17 (564 of 3233 m gained outside thermals)
3Tony Cross57.4 (18 glides, 55 min gliding)1.26 (5 legs compared)4.3 (17 glide→climb pairs)1.28 (5 legs completed)9 (287 of 3327 m gained outside thermals)
4Harrison Rowntree69.8 (12 glides, 57 min gliding)1.21 (4 legs compared)-8.1 (11 glide→climb pairs)1.55 (5 legs completed)9 (372 of 4042 m gained outside thermals)
5Sam Prest65.2 (16 glides, 53 min gliding)1.19 (5 legs compared)-0.2 (15 glide→climb pairs)1.44 (5 legs completed)20 (712 of 3480 m gained outside thermals)
6Todd Wisewould64.9 (19 glides, 58 min gliding)0.96 (4 legs compared)3.4 (18 glide→climb pairs)1.53 (5 legs completed)10 (457 of 4397 m gained outside thermals)
7Andy Schmidt58.3 (13 glides, 58 min gliding)1.08 (4 legs compared)-0.6 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.36 (5 legs completed)15 (534 of 3458 m gained outside thermals)
8Steve Norman56.2 (21 glides, 61 min gliding)1.18 (5 legs compared)0.0 (20 glide→climb pairs)1.39 (5 legs completed)10 (459 of 4727 m gained outside thermals)
9Steve Blenkinsop59.4 (8 glides, 64 min gliding)1.16 (4 legs compared)0.2 (7 glide→climb pairs)1.45 (5 legs completed)6 (298 of 4834 m gained outside thermals)
10Neale Halsall61.2 (13 glides, 62 min gliding)1.06 (5 legs compared)4.1 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.55 (5 legs completed)10 (527 of 5287 m gained outside thermals)
11James Wynd62.0 (11 glides, 70 min gliding)1.21 (5 legs compared)-7.4 (10 glide→climb pairs)1.66 (5 legs completed)3 (115 of 4388 m gained outside thermals)
12Hughbert Alexander65.6 (23 glides, 75 min gliding)1.01 (5 legs compared)13.5 (22 glide→climb pairs)2.01 (5 legs completed)23 (2221 of 9621 m gained outside thermals)
13Bruce Atkinson49.7 (16 glides, 71 min gliding)1.03 (2 legs compared)-0.3 (15 glide→climb pairs)2.04 (2 legs completed)7 (313 of 4329 m gained outside thermals)
14Keith Lavers50.9 (6 glides, 43 min gliding)0.82 (2 legs compared)-4.1 (5 glide→climb pairs)1.39 (2 legs completed)2 (51 of 2803 m gained outside thermals)
15Peter Adriaans56.1 (11 glides, 44 min gliding)0.81 (2 legs compared)-3.4 (10 glide→climb pairs)1.74 (2 legs completed)14 (439 of 3077 m gained outside thermals)
17Dave Moore53.5 (15 glides, 61 min gliding)1.7 (14 glide→climb pairs)1.12 (1 leg completed)22 (496 of 2230 m gained outside thermals)
18Mark Divito43.6 (16 glides, 62 min gliding)0.59 (1 leg compared)3.8 (15 glide→climb pairs)1.40 (1 leg completed)12 (548 of 4492 m gained outside thermals)
19Michael Free48.0 (7 glides, 30 min gliding)-4.2 (6 glide→climb pairs)2.56 (1 leg completed)3 (54 of 1893 m gained outside thermals)
20Richard Hughes54.3 (12 glides, 60 min gliding)0.90 (1 leg compared)1.9 (11 glide→climb pairs)2.40 (1 leg completed)12 (418 of 3364 m gained outside thermals)
21Dean Bayly41.2 (2 glides, 10 min gliding)1 (5 of 540 m gained outside thermals)
22Anthony Meechan47.2 (2 glides, 11 min gliding)
23Neil Hooke
24James Atkinson
25Mitch Butler
26Ollie Chitty54.8 (1 glides, 5 min gliding)
27James McGinty52.3 (2 glides, 8 min gliding)

Glide speed (post-start)

Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Field glide speed: median 56.2 km/h · p90 65.5 km/h (23 pilots)

strongest |ρ| 0.61

strongest |ρ| 0.53

strongest |ρ| 0.52

Metric glossary

How every metric on this page is measured. On screen, the ⓘ next to a metric opens the same description in place; in print, this section is the reference for all of them.

Day profile & wind

Wind (by hour and by leg)(“Wind” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · no expected direction

Wind estimated from every pilot’s circling (centre drift preferred, ground-speed modulation as fallback), vector-averaged two ways: by hour of day (how the wind built and shifted through the day) and by speed-section leg (the wind each part of the course saw). Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Climb by hour(“Climb/hr” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

All pilots’ thermal climbs bucketed by the hour the climb started (labelled in the competition’s time zone): median and 90th-percentile average climb rate per hour show how the day’s lift developed. Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Time in non-sinking air(“NonSink%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot’s airborne time (on the shared grid) spent in non-sinking air — 30 s-smoothed vario at or above −0.5 m/s. Reflects how much of the flight met usable air: when flown, where the pilot steered, and how the flight ended all feed it, so the correlation sign is the finding. The timing table relates the day’s best climbs window to when the field actually launched.

Climbing

Climb rate vs field in shared thermals(“SharedPct” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

In every thermal two or more pilots used, each use is ranked by average climb rate; a use’s percentile is the share of strictly slower uses. The value is the duration-weighted mean percentile over the pilot’s shared climbs — centering skill isolated from thermal selection.

Time to core a thermal(“Core s” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each thermal of at least 60 s, the seconds from entering until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the pilot’s thermals — how fast they centre the best lift after arriving.

Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal(“ExitDecay” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

For each thermal of at least 90 s, the climb rate over its final 30 s — the "give-up rate". The value is the median: low means the pilot abandons weakening lift early, high means they ride climbs to the end; the correlation sign says which behaviour paid on this task.

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs(“Accept%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band(“ExitBand%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

The altitude at which the pilot left each post-start thermal, as a percentage of the day’s working band (0% = field floor, 100% = field ceiling); the value is the median. High means topping out every climb, low means leaving early with climb still available.

Circle fit error relative to circle radius(“Smooth” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Gliding

Glide speed (post-start)(“GlideSpd” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Glide L/D vs field (per leg)(“L/D vs f” in tables)
Measured in ratio · higher is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot's glide-phase L/D (path distance ÷ net altitude lost while gliding; legs losing under 100 m skipped) is divided by the field's median L/D on that same leg, then averaged over legs. Above 1.0 means the pilot found better glide lines than the field on the same legs.

Speed-to-fly proxy(“STFproxy” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

A speed-to-fly PROXY — no glider polar data exists. Each post-start glide is paired with the climb rate of the next thermal starting within 5 minutes; the value is the mean glide speed flown before stronger-than-median climbs minus the mean before weaker ones. Positive means the pilot speeds up when the next climb justifies it.

Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)(“TrackEff” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Route distance flown on each completed speed-section leg — full path outside climbs, each climb counted as its net drift — ÷ the leg's optimized distance, averaged with optimized-distance weights. Closer to 1.0 means less deviation from the optimal course line; circling path is excluded, so stopping to climb does not read as bad line choice.

Dolphin climb fraction(“Dolphin%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of post-start altitude gain (10 s-smoothed) made outside detected thermals — climbing on the run instead of stopping to circle. Neutral: the correlation sign shows whether dolphin climbing paid on this day.

Decision-making

Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)(“Floor%” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

Finds each pilot's post-start altitude minima (30 s-smoothed, at least 100 m below the surrounding maxima) — the points where they stopped descending and committed to a climb — and reports the median as a percentage of the day's working band. Higher means the pilot keeps more margin in hand before taking a climb.

Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)(“LowSaves” in tables)
Measured in count · no expected direction

Counts post-start climbs entered below 15% of the working band that went on to gain at least 300 m — genuine low saves. Zero is a real score for a started pilot; the correlation sign says whether digging out or never getting low is what pays.

Climbs per 100 km flown(“Clm/100km” in tables)
Measured in count · lower is better

Post-start thermal count per 100 km of scored flown distance — how often the pilot stops to circle. Each pilot's note adds their mean climb percentile within shared thermals, so few stops can be read together with climb strength.

Search fraction of the speed section(“Search%” in tables)
Measured in percent · lower is better

Share of speed-section time (start to ESS, or landing) spent searching — neither climbing in a thermal nor gliding with real net speed. Lower means less time leaks away between climbs.

Gaggle

Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)(“Affinity” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start flying time spent inside a detected gaggle (clustered with at least one other racing pilot on the shared time grid). Neutral: the correlation sign says whether sticking with company paid on the day.

Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)(“Marked%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start climbs where another pilot was already established (at least 30 s) and still climbing in the same thermal when they joined. High = climbs on others' markers; low = finds their own lift.

Gaggle departure win rate(“DepartWin” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

When a pilot leaves a gaggle that keeps flying, did leaving pay off? We compare the leaver's arrival at the next turnpoint against the median arrival of the pilots who stayed. Win rate > 50% means their departures beat the gaggle. Only pilots still in the gaggle after the split who reached that turnpoint after it count as stayers.

Race craft

Start delay (gate to crossing)(“StartDly” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

Seconds from the start gate taken (or the pilot’s own crossing on elapsed-time tasks, where the delay is 0 by definition) to the scored SSS crossing. The start table adds crossing altitude and how far behind the leading already-started pilot each start was.

Time lost on speed-section legs(“LegLost” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot’s leg time is compared with the mean of the top-10 (by rank) pilots who completed that leg; only losses count, and the losses are summed. Summed leg times are race time and the reference is defined by rank, so this tracks the outcome by construction — read the waterfall table (every leg against the task winner) for the diagnostic, not the correlation for a finding.

Time behind the leader at ESS(“Behind” in tables)
Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, elapsed race time (reaching minus own start) is compared with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint; the scalar is minutes behind at ESS. Expected to track final rank almost perfectly — this metric is the eval’s sanity check.

Altitude margin over final glide at ESS(“ESSMargin” in tables)
Measured in metres · lower is better

Altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the sport’s standard glide ratio (S7F §12.3.6: 5.0 HG / 4.0 PG). A big positive margin is altitude — i.e. time — left unspent.

Required glide ratio when leaving the last climb(“FinalGl” in tables)
Measured in ratio · no expected direction

At the pilot’s last climb before ESS (or landing): distance to goal divided by height above goal — the glide ratio they committed to. Only counted when that climb ended within 1.5× the final leg’s distance of goal.