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Task 3 (Open)

How the field actually flew this task, and which behaviours separated it.

Analysis computed

Pilots analysed
34
Sampling
every 10s
Shared thermals
61 of 246multi-pilot
Working band
8662152 m
Phase coverage
100%

1 pilot is in the standings but not in this analysis:

  • Nariyuki Watabescored from a manual flight report — no tracklog to analyse

Correlations are measured against the published ranks, which include these pilots; their behaviour simply cannot be measured without a tracklog.

What separated the field

Each metric's Spearman correlation against the published rank. Rank 1 is best, so a metric where more is better shows a negative ρ. Bigger bars mean the metric separated the field more sharply on this task. Select a row to see that metric plotted against rank.

MetricρStrengthnVerdictFamily
Glide speed (post-start)-0.90
32strongGliding
Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band-0.75
32strongClimbing
Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)-0.68
28strongDecision-making
Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)-0.66
34strongGaggle
Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)0.65
25strongGliding
Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)-0.62
30strongGaggle
Required glide ratio when leaving the last climb0.59
23strongRace craft
Glide L/D vs field (per leg)-0.59
25strongGliding
Search fraction of the speed section0.57
34strongDecision-making
Climbs per 100 km flown0.50
28moderateDecision-making
Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs-0.36
32moderateClimbing
Gaggle departure win rate-0.33
17within noiseGaggle
Time in non-sinking air0.32
34within noiseDay profile & wind
Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal0.31
33within noiseClimbing
Time to core a thermal-0.25
33within noiseClimbing
Circle fit error relative to circle radius-0.21
29within noiseClimbing
Dolphin climb fraction0.18
29within noiseGliding
Speed-to-fly proxy0.09
27within noiseGliding
Altitude margin over final glide at ESS0.07
17within noiseRace craft
Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)-0.01
34within noiseDecision-making
Climb rate vs field in shared thermals-0.00
32within noiseClimbing

Verdicts: strong |ρ| ≥ 0.5, moderate ≥ 0.3, weak below — but only after clearing the noise floor for that metric's n. within noise means shuffled ranks produce a coefficient that size more than 5% of the time, so it is indistinguishable from luck whatever its magnitude.

With 21 metrics ranked on this one task, the top rows are partly selection luck — trust the metrics that repeat across tasks in the competition-level analysis.

Glide speed (post-start)

Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Each dot is a pilot: across is the metric's value, up is a better rank. ρ = -0.90 (strong, n = 32). More is expected to be better here, and it was: top ranks gather to the right. 2 pilots have no value and are not plotted.
  • Field glide speed: median 57.5 km/h · p90 69.3 km/h (32 pilots)

Outcome checks

These metrics are derived from the race outcome itself, so they correlate with rank by construction — a low |ρ| here questions the eval, not the flying. Their per-pilot diagnostics stay in the Race craft section below.

MetricρStrengthnVerdict
Time behind the leader at ESS0.99
17strong
Time lost on speed-section legs0.68
25strong

The whole field at a glance

1. Steven Crosby
2. Josh Woods
3. Hughbert Alexander
4. Tyler Borradaile
5. Rohan Taylor
6. Paul Bissett-Amess
7. Rory Duncan
8. Peter Burkitt
9. Ward Gunn
10. Rob de Groot
11. Dick Heffer
12. Richard Martin
13. Bradley Elliott
14. Adrian Connor
15. Mick Lamb
16. James Atkinson
17. John Greenwood
19. Peter Garrone
20. Dustan Hansen
21. John Harriott
22. Andy Schmidt
23. James Morgan
24. Col Jackson
25. Brett Gilmour
26. Hossain Tefaili
27. James McGinty
28. Nolan Bear
29. Justin Gilmour
30. Rob Larkin
31. Joe Baker
32. Les Bestt
33. Richard Hughes
34. Andre Johnson
35. Howard Taylor
Pilots in rank order against every metric: darker = a better percentile in this field (empty = not applicable). Column order follows the family sections below, which carry the exact values. † No good/bad direction — shade is position in the field, not quality.

Pilot style clusters

Groups are flying style, not score — the rank spread on each shows where that style did and did not pay. Each group is named after its strongest signature; ★ marks the pilot most typical of their group.

Group AOutclimbed in company

2 pilots · ranks 79 · median 8 · middle half 7.58.5

  • LowClimb rate vs field in shared thermals group median P2 in this field (34 percent) · usually costly
  • HighDolphin climb fraction group median P98 in this field (32 percent)
  • HighGlide L/D vs field (per leg) group median P98 in this field (7.92 ratio) · usually a strength
  • HighAltitude margin over final glide at ESS group median P97 in this field (1154 metres) · usually costly
  • 7. Rory Duncan (most typical of this group)
  • 9. Ward Gunn

Group BBold leavers

10 pilots · ranks 129 · median 9 · middle half 3.312.5

  • HighGaggle departure win rate group median P88 in this field (100 percent)
  • LowSearch fraction of the speed section group median P14 in this field (17 percent) · usually a strength
  • LowClimb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal group median P14 in this field (0.1 metres per second)
  • LowDolphin climb fraction group median P16 in this field (3 percent)
  • 1. Steven Crosby
  • 2. Josh Woods
  • 3. Hughbert Alexander (most typical of this group)
  • 4. Tyler Borradaile
  • 8. Peter Burkitt
  • 10. Rob de Groot
  • 11. Dick Heffer
  • 13. Bradley Elliott
  • 20. Dustan Hansen
  • 29. Justin Gilmour

Group CLeave-it-lifting climbers

6 pilots · ranks 525 · median 13 · middle half 7.520.8

  • HighClimb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal group median P83 in this field (0.9 metres per second)
  • LowTime to core a thermal group median P17 in this field (41 seconds) · usually a strength
  • LowLow saves (climbs from the bottom of the band) group median P20 in this field (0.0 count)
  • HighClimbs per 100 km flown group median P78 in this field (63.0 count) · usually costly
  • 5. Rohan Taylor
  • 6. Paul Bissett-Amess (most typical of this group)
  • 12. Richard Martin
  • 14. Adrian Connor
  • 23. James Morgan
  • 25. Brett Gilmour

Group DGlide bleeders

9 pilots · ranks 1528 · median 21 · middle half 1724

  • LowGlide L/D vs field (per leg) group median P15 in this field (0.81 ratio) · usually costly
  • LowAltitude floor (band % at climb decisions) group median P22 in this field (15 percent) · usually costly
  • HighLow saves (climbs from the bottom of the band) group median P77 in this field (2.0 count)
  • HighSpeed-to-fly proxy group median P77 in this field (2.0 kilometres per hour) · usually a strength
  • 15. Mick Lamb
  • 16. James Atkinson
  • 17. John Greenwood
  • 19. Peter Garrone (most typical of this group)
  • 21. John Harriott
  • 22. Andy Schmidt
  • 24. Col Jackson
  • 26. Hossain Tefaili
  • 28. Nolan Bear

Group EDeep diggers

4 pilots · ranks 3035 · median 32.5 · middle half 30.834.3

  • LowAltitude floor (band % at climb decisions) group median P2 in this field (-24 percent) · usually costly
  • LowThermal departure altitude as % of the working band group median P5 in this field (2 percent)
  • LowMarker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb) group median P5 in this field (0 percent)
  • LowGaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle) group median P8 in this field (0 percent)
  • 30. Rob Larkin (most typical of this group)
  • 31. Joe Baker
  • 34. Andre Johnson
  • 35. Howard Taylor

Not clustered: 27. James McGinty — only 6 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 32. Les Bestt — only 7 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%); 33. Richard Hughes — only 9 of 21 metrics available (needs ≥ 60%).

Pilots are grouped by flying style, not by score: every behavioural metric is rank-transformed to a within-field percentile, pilots are compared by the mean percentile gap over the metrics both have (missing values are never imputed), and Ward-linkage agglomeration forms the groups, with the number of groups chosen by the best mean silhouette. Each group is annotated with the GAP-rank spread of its members — where a style did and did not pay. Here: 31 pilots on 21 behavioural metrics formed 5 groups (k searched 26); mean silhouette 0.25 — near 0 means soft group boundaries, near 1 tight well-separated groups.

The metrics in detail

strongest |ρ| 0.32

strongest |ρ| 0.75

#PilotSharedPctCore sExitDecayAccept%ExitBand%Smooth
1Steven Crosby50 (13 shared climbs)100 (13 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.1 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)79 (11/14 circling bouts led to climbs)103 (mean on-course altitude 48% of band)0.38 (17 circles, 53% left)
2Josh Woods72 (18 shared climbs)65 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.0 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)76 (13/17 circling bouts led to climbs)65 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band) (7 circles, 57% left)
3Hughbert Alexander65 (13 shared climbs)63 (16 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.2 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)69 (9/13 circling bouts led to climbs)93 (mean on-course altitude 67% of band)0.28 (18 circles, 56% left)
4Tyler Borradaile49 (18 shared climbs)90 (21 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.1 (21 climbs ≥ 90 s)86 (18/21 circling bouts led to climbs)74 (mean on-course altitude 45% of band)0.33 (18 circles, 44% left)
5Rohan Taylor78 (19 shared climbs)47 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)89 (16/18 circling bouts led to climbs)66 (mean on-course altitude 56% of band)0.20 (128 circles, 91% left)
6Paul Bissett-Amess65 (48 shared climbs)38 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)94 (16/17 circling bouts led to climbs)71 (mean on-course altitude 68% of band)0.20 (113 circles, 78% left)
7Rory Duncan37 (5 shared climbs)85 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.5 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)15 (4/27 circling bouts led to climbs)88 (mean on-course altitude 74% of band)0.30 (21 circles, 71% left)
8Peter Burkitt77 (17 shared climbs)55 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)55 (11/20 circling bouts led to climbs)93 (mean on-course altitude 67% of band)0.22 (13 circles, 100% left)
9Ward Gunn32 (5 shared climbs)130 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)13 (2/15 circling bouts led to climbs)100 (mean on-course altitude 86% of band) (8 circles, 63% left)
10Rob de Groot73 (15 shared climbs)64 (23 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (20 climbs ≥ 90 s)67 (16/24 circling bouts led to climbs)60 (mean on-course altitude 40% of band)0.30 (33 circles, 85% left)
11Dick Heffer53 (10 shared climbs)100 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.3 (19 climbs ≥ 90 s)79 (15/19 circling bouts led to climbs)83 (mean on-course altitude 38% of band)0.36 (25 circles, 32% left)
12Richard Martin77 (35 shared climbs)35 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.5 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)69 (11/16 circling bouts led to climbs)75 (mean on-course altitude 65% of band)0.19 (197 circles, 52% left)
13Bradley Elliott64 (16 shared climbs)130 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)-0.2 (19 climbs ≥ 90 s)70 (16/23 circling bouts led to climbs)76 (mean on-course altitude 38% of band)0.35 (15 circles, 73% left)
14Adrian Connor42 (42 shared climbs)41 (33 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.6 (24 climbs ≥ 90 s)80 (20/25 circling bouts led to climbs)72 (mean on-course altitude 58% of band)0.15 (266 circles, 28% left)
15Mick Lamb76 (14 shared climbs)55 (32 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (24 climbs ≥ 90 s)92 (22/24 circling bouts led to climbs)45 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.21 (32 circles, 75% left)
16James Atkinson67 (27 shared climbs)40 (32 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.7 (23 climbs ≥ 90 s)83 (24/29 circling bouts led to climbs)50 (mean on-course altitude 47% of band)0.17 (270 circles, 40% left)
17John Greenwood67 (47 shared climbs)48 (35 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (26 climbs ≥ 90 s)79 (22/28 circling bouts led to climbs)67 (mean on-course altitude 47% of band)0.17 (256 circles, 38% left)
19Peter Garrone74 (21 shared climbs)56 (31 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.8 (23 climbs ≥ 90 s)87 (27/31 circling bouts led to climbs)48 (mean on-course altitude 34% of band)0.18 (300 circles, 94% left)
20Dustan Hansen73 (21 shared climbs)56 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.6 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)68 (15/22 circling bouts led to climbs)76 (mean on-course altitude 48% of band)0.19 (122 circles, 71% left)
21John Harriott42 (20 shared climbs)60 (30 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (27 climbs ≥ 90 s)56 (15/27 circling bouts led to climbs)54 (mean on-course altitude 44% of band)0.22 (40 circles, 0% left)
22Andy Schmidt73 (34 shared climbs)60 (15 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)100 (12/12 circling bouts led to climbs)29 (mean on-course altitude 29% of band)0.17 (135 circles, 64% left)
23James Morgan56 (41 shared climbs)41 (29 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.7 (21 climbs ≥ 90 s)71 (15/21 circling bouts led to climbs)83 (mean on-course altitude 59% of band)0.17 (208 circles, 83% left)
24Col Jackson46 (19 shared climbs)50 (25 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (17 climbs ≥ 90 s)63 (12/19 circling bouts led to climbs)58 (mean on-course altitude 30% of band)0.27 (40 circles, 75% left)
25Brett Gilmour58 (42 shared climbs)43 (25 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (8/11 circling bouts led to climbs)31 (mean on-course altitude 28% of band)0.22 (91 circles, 89% left)
26Hossain Tefaili42 (5 shared climbs)150 (11 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.2 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s)77 (10/13 circling bouts led to climbs)31 (mean on-course altitude 26% of band)0.38 (12 circles, 50% left)
27James McGinty0 (0/23 circling bouts led to climbs)
28Nolan Bear65 (4 shared climbs)54 (18 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (14 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (8/16 circling bouts led to climbs)58 (mean on-course altitude 50% of band)0.20 (51 circles, 49% left)
29Justin Gilmour73 (15 shared climbs)58 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s)73 (11/15 circling bouts led to climbs)64 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.21 (22 circles, 27% left)
30Rob Larkin66 (6 shared climbs)40 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.7 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)56 (5/9 circling bouts led to climbs)-10 (mean on-course altitude -7% of band)0.23 (54 circles, 98% left)
31Joe Baker56 (27 shared climbs)6 (4 climbs ≥ 60 s)2.0 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)40 (2/5 circling bouts led to climbs)25 (mean on-course altitude 18% of band)0.22 (53 circles, 77% left)
32Les Bestt65 (2 shared climbs)85 (2 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.5 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s) (3 circles, 0% left)
33Richard Hughes80 (6 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.4 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)41 (mean on-course altitude 10% of band) (3 circles, 100% left)
34Andre Johnson58 (4 shared climbs)53 (10 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.5 (7 climbs ≥ 90 s)60 (6/10 circling bouts led to climbs)-7 (mean on-course altitude -13% of band)0.33 (12 circles, 58% left)
35Howard Taylor74 (11 shared climbs)53 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (4 climbs ≥ 90 s)33 (1/3 circling bouts led to climbs)11 (mean on-course altitude 4% of band)0.15 (73 circles, 86% left)

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs

Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
10013
7630
7327
6019
3710
01

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

Circle fit error relative to circle radius

Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Turn direction across the field: 63% left (2656 circles).

strongest |ρ| 0.90

#PilotGlideSpdL/D vs fSTFproxyTrackEffDolphin%
1Steven Crosby72.1 (8 glides, 52 min gliding)1.16 (3 legs compared)-0.9 (7 glide→climb pairs)1.13 (3 legs completed)6 (311 of 5555 m gained outside thermals)
2Josh Woods72.6 (12 glides, 55 min gliding)0.94 (3 legs compared)-10.9 (11 glide→climb pairs)1.20 (3 legs completed)3 (190 of 6212 m gained outside thermals)
3Hughbert Alexander69.4 (6 glides, 56 min gliding)1.09 (3 legs compared)-4.4 (5 glide→climb pairs)1.10 (3 legs completed)2 (102 of 5021 m gained outside thermals)
4Tyler Borradaile69.8 (8 glides, 50 min gliding)1.13 (3 legs compared)12.4 (7 glide→climb pairs)1.19 (3 legs completed)5 (268 of 5352 m gained outside thermals)
5Rohan Taylor67.8 (16 glides, 68 min gliding)1.34 (3 legs compared)1.5 (15 glide→climb pairs)1.27 (3 legs completed)5 (228 of 4345 m gained outside thermals)
6Paul Bissett-Amess64.1 (24 glides, 72 min gliding)1.20 (3 legs compared)1.1 (23 glide→climb pairs)1.41 (3 legs completed)13 (627 of 4731 m gained outside thermals)
7Rory Duncan68.9 (2 glides, 34 min gliding)9.41 (3 legs compared)1.79 (3 legs completed)26 (258 of 994 m gained outside thermals)
8Peter Burkitt59.7 (10 glides, 68 min gliding)0.98 (3 legs compared)1.2 (9 glide→climb pairs)1.20 (3 legs completed)3 (176 of 5252 m gained outside thermals)
9Ward Gunn61.9 (2 glides, 106 min gliding)6.42 (3 legs compared)1.84 (3 legs completed)39 (506 of 1302 m gained outside thermals)
10Rob de Groot64.6 (18 glides, 66 min gliding)0.86 (3 legs compared)-0.8 (17 glide→climb pairs)1.22 (3 legs completed)2 (159 of 6626 m gained outside thermals)
11Dick Heffer65.8 (9 glides, 67 min gliding)0.94 (3 legs compared)-3.2 (8 glide→climb pairs)1.29 (3 legs completed)2 (181 of 7587 m gained outside thermals)
12Richard Martin58.5 (27 glides, 100 min gliding)1.06 (3 legs compared)0.1 (26 glide→climb pairs)1.65 (3 legs completed)13 (882 of 6914 m gained outside thermals)
13Bradley Elliott63.7 (13 glides, 72 min gliding)0.96 (3 legs compared)-8.9 (12 glide→climb pairs)1.32 (3 legs completed)4 (298 of 7755 m gained outside thermals)
14Adrian Connor57.2 (25 glides, 93 min gliding)1.00 (3 legs compared)0.4 (24 glide→climb pairs)1.58 (3 legs completed)7 (435 of 5835 m gained outside thermals)
15Mick Lamb56.7 (19 glides, 86 min gliding)0.94 (3 legs compared)0.9 (18 glide→climb pairs)1.44 (3 legs completed)7 (489 of 7501 m gained outside thermals)
16James Atkinson56.5 (29 glides, 91 min gliding)0.97 (3 legs compared)-0.3 (28 glide→climb pairs)1.59 (3 legs completed)6 (409 of 6752 m gained outside thermals)
17John Greenwood64.0 (29 glides, 84 min gliding)0.78 (3 legs compared)8.9 (28 glide→climb pairs)1.77 (3 legs completed)16 (1416 of 9103 m gained outside thermals)
19Peter Garrone50.7 (28 glides, 85 min gliding)0.68 (2 legs compared)1.8 (27 glide→climb pairs)1.46 (2 legs completed)4 (318 of 7400 m gained outside thermals)
20Dustan Hansen60.3 (20 glides, 82 min gliding)1.24 (2 legs compared)3.0 (19 glide→climb pairs)1.54 (2 legs completed)4 (257 of 6305 m gained outside thermals)
21John Harriott51.6 (16 glides, 95 min gliding)0.84 (1 leg compared)2.8 (15 glide→climb pairs)2.20 (1 leg completed)7 (393 of 6040 m gained outside thermals)
22Andy Schmidt57.8 (14 glides, 59 min gliding)0.89 (1 leg compared)4.7 (13 glide→climb pairs)1.66 (1 leg completed)20 (942 of 4751 m gained outside thermals)
23James Morgan56.1 (22 glides, 79 min gliding)1.14 (1 leg compared)-0.0 (21 glide→climb pairs)1.90 (1 leg completed)9 (442 of 4949 m gained outside thermals)
24Col Jackson43.7 (10 glides, 53 min gliding)0.59 (1 leg compared)4.6 (9 glide→climb pairs)1.43 (1 leg completed)4 (174 of 4510 m gained outside thermals)
25Brett Gilmour51.1 (16 glides, 54 min gliding)0.92 (1 leg compared)0.3 (15 glide→climb pairs)2.27 (1 leg completed)15 (513 of 3315 m gained outside thermals)
26Hossain Tefaili51.8 (5 glides, 27 min gliding)0.77 (1 leg compared)2.0 (4 glide→climb pairs)1.38 (1 leg completed)4 (118 of 2912 m gained outside thermals)
27James McGinty
28Nolan Bear44.4 (8 glides, 53 min gliding)1.0 (7 glide→climb pairs)5 (180 of 3816 m gained outside thermals)
29Justin Gilmour53.7 (8 glides, 34 min gliding)-4.9 (7 glide→climb pairs)2 (69 of 2989 m gained outside thermals)
30Rob Larkin56.0 (6 glides, 22 min gliding)-6.2 (5 glide→climb pairs)25 (297 of 1209 m gained outside thermals)
31Joe Baker49.1 (3 glides, 17 min gliding)
32Les Bestt
33Richard Hughes42.5 (1 glides, 10 min gliding)
34Andre Johnson43.4 (6 glides, 21 min gliding)-2.2 (5 glide→climb pairs)13 (133 of 1021 m gained outside thermals)
35Howard Taylor52.6 (3 glides, 10 min gliding)

Glide speed (post-start)

Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Field glide speed: median 57.5 km/h · p90 69.3 km/h (32 pilots)

strongest |ρ| 0.68

#PilotFloor%LowSavesClm/100kmSearch%
1Steven Crosby63 (8 dips, lowest 8% of band)0.017.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 40%)10
2Josh Woods43 (11 dips, lowest 10% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 13% of band)25.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)18
3Hughbert Alexander41 (6 dips, lowest -5% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -5% of band)17.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%)11
4Tyler Borradaile46 (11 dips, lowest 36% of band)0.024.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 43%)13
5Rohan Taylor37 (8 dips, lowest 18% of band)0.029.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 61%)20
6Paul Bissett-Amess57 (6 dips, lowest 27% of band)0.066.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%)25
7Rory Duncan0.02.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 37%)61
8Peter Burkitt44 (8 dips, lowest 6% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 6% of band)22.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)20
9Ward Gunn75 (3 dips, lowest 59% of band)0.04.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 26%)59
10Rob de Groot28 (10 dips, lowest -32% of band)4.0 (deepest save from -20% of band)29.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 57%)25
11Dick Heffer20 (9 dips, lowest -32% of band)3.0 (deepest save from -30% of band)19.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 47%)16
12Richard Martin34 (9 dips, lowest 15% of band)0.059.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 60%)32
13Bradley Elliott39 (13 dips, lowest -14% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -11% of band)22.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 61%)17
14Adrian Connor39 (11 dips, lowest -10% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 7% of band)55.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 31%)33
15Mick Lamb22 (10 dips, lowest -21% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -13% of band)49.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 62%)20
16James Atkinson37 (14 dips, lowest -4% of band)2.0 (deepest save from 1% of band)65.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)29
17John Greenwood31 (13 dips, lowest -25% of band)4.0 (deepest save from -23% of band)90.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 53%)37
19Peter Garrone8 (13 dips, lowest -32% of band)3.0 (deepest save from -32% of band)63.1 (mean shared-climb pctile 51%)28
20Dustan Hansen46 (9 dips, lowest -12% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -12% of band)38.0 (mean shared-climb pctile 50%)25
21John Harriott29 (10 dips, lowest -4% of band)2.0 (deepest save from 3% of band)44.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 45%)39
22Andy Schmidt-7 (4 dips, lowest -10% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -5% of band)79.5 (mean shared-climb pctile 53%)26
23James Morgan69 (9 dips, lowest -25% of band)1.0 (deepest save from 8% of band)87.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 40%)36
24Col Jackson3 (7 dips, lowest -37% of band)3.0 (deepest save from -9% of band)56.4 (mean shared-climb pctile 37%)27
25Brett Gilmour16 (8 dips, lowest -7% of band)0.0142.2 (mean shared-climb pctile 49%)42
26Hossain Tefaili14 (5 dips, lowest -15% of band)2.0 (deepest save from -14% of band)33.6 (mean shared-climb pctile 40%)23
27James McGinty0.00.065
28Nolan Bear15 (5 dips, lowest -8% of band)2.0 (deepest save from 7% of band)65.7 (mean shared-climb pctile 54%)30
29Justin Gilmour31 (6 dips, lowest 17% of band)0.050.8 (mean shared-climb pctile 56%)23
30Rob Larkin-21 (2 dips, lowest -28% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -13% of band)54
31Joe Baker0.071
32Les Bestt0.018
33Richard Hughes0.065
34Andre Johnson-28 (2 dips, lowest -32% of band)1.0 (deepest save from -23% of band)51
35Howard Taylor0.059

Search fraction of the speed section

Measured in percent · lower is better

Share of speed-section time (start to ESS, or landing) spent searching — neither climbing in a thermal nor gliding with real net speed. Lower means less time leaks away between climbs.

Speed-section phase shares, field p25/median/p75: climb 34/43/49% · glide 23/29/34% · search 20/27/41%

strongest |ρ| 0.66

strongest |ρ| 0.59

Metric glossary

How every metric on this page is measured. On screen, the ⓘ next to a metric opens the same description in place; in print, this section is the reference for all of them.

Day profile & wind

Wind (by hour and by leg)(“Wind” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · no expected direction

Wind estimated from every pilot’s circling (centre drift preferred, ground-speed modulation as fallback), vector-averaged two ways: by hour of day (how the wind built and shifted through the day) and by speed-section leg (the wind each part of the course saw). Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Climb by hour(“Climb/hr” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

All pilots’ thermal climbs bucketed by the hour the climb started (labelled in the competition’s time zone): median and 90th-percentile average climb rate per hour show how the day’s lift developed. Field-level only — no per-pilot value.

Time in non-sinking air(“NonSink%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot’s airborne time (on the shared grid) spent in non-sinking air — 30 s-smoothed vario at or above −0.5 m/s. Reflects how much of the flight met usable air: when flown, where the pilot steered, and how the flight ended all feed it, so the correlation sign is the finding. The timing table relates the day’s best climbs window to when the field actually launched.

Climbing

Climb rate vs field in shared thermals(“SharedPct” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

In every thermal two or more pilots used, each use is ranked by average climb rate; a use’s percentile is the share of strictly slower uses. The value is the duration-weighted mean percentile over the pilot’s shared climbs — centering skill isolated from thermal selection.

Time to core a thermal(“Core s” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each thermal of at least 60 s, the seconds from entering until the 30 s rolling climb rate first reaches 90% of its peak in that thermal. The value is the median across the pilot’s thermals — how fast they centre the best lift after arriving.

Climb rate over the last 30 s of each thermal(“ExitDecay” in tables)
Measured in metres per second · no expected direction

For each thermal of at least 90 s, the climb rate over its final 30 s — the "give-up rate". The value is the median: low means the pilot abandons weakening lift early, high means they ride climbs to the end; the correlation sign says which behaviour paid on this task.

Share of circling encounters accepted as climbs(“Accept%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Post-start circling bouts of at least 30 s are lift encounters; one that overlaps a detected thermal was accepted, otherwise the pilot circled and rejected the lift. The value is the percentage accepted — low means picky, high means they take almost everything they turn in.

Thermal departure altitude as % of the working band(“ExitBand%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

The altitude at which the pilot left each post-start thermal, as a percentage of the day’s working band (0% = field floor, 100% = field ceiling); the value is the median. High means topping out every climb, low means leaving early with climb still available.

Circle fit error relative to circle radius(“Smooth” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Each detected circle is least-squares fitted; its RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn really was. The value is the median over all the pilot’s circles — lower means smoother, more consistent turning.

Gliding

Glide speed (post-start)(“GlideSpd” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

Duration-weighted mean ground speed over post-start glide segments (glide distance ÷ glide time). Higher means the pilot covers ground faster between climbs.

Glide L/D vs field (per leg)(“L/D vs f” in tables)
Measured in ratio · higher is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot's glide-phase L/D (path distance ÷ net altitude lost while gliding; legs losing under 100 m skipped) is divided by the field's median L/D on that same leg, then averaged over legs. Above 1.0 means the pilot found better glide lines than the field on the same legs.

Speed-to-fly proxy(“STFproxy” in tables)
Measured in kilometres per hour · higher is better

A speed-to-fly PROXY — no glider polar data exists. Each post-start glide is paired with the climb rate of the next thermal starting within 5 minutes; the value is the mean glide speed flown before stronger-than-median climbs minus the mean before weaker ones. Positive means the pilot speeds up when the next climb justifies it.

Track efficiency (actual ÷ optimized leg distance)(“TrackEff” in tables)
Measured in ratio · lower is better

Route distance flown on each completed speed-section leg — full path outside climbs, each climb counted as its net drift — ÷ the leg's optimized distance, averaged with optimized-distance weights. Closer to 1.0 means less deviation from the optimal course line; circling path is excluded, so stopping to climb does not read as bad line choice.

Dolphin climb fraction(“Dolphin%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of post-start altitude gain (10 s-smoothed) made outside detected thermals — climbing on the run instead of stopping to circle. Neutral: the correlation sign shows whether dolphin climbing paid on this day.

Decision-making

Altitude floor (band % at climb decisions)(“Floor%” in tables)
Measured in percent · higher is better

Finds each pilot's post-start altitude minima (30 s-smoothed, at least 100 m below the surrounding maxima) — the points where they stopped descending and committed to a climb — and reports the median as a percentage of the day's working band. Higher means the pilot keeps more margin in hand before taking a climb.

Low saves (climbs from the bottom of the band)(“LowSaves” in tables)
Measured in count · no expected direction

Counts post-start climbs entered below 15% of the working band that went on to gain at least 300 m — genuine low saves. Zero is a real score for a started pilot; the correlation sign says whether digging out or never getting low is what pays.

Climbs per 100 km flown(“Clm/100km” in tables)
Measured in count · lower is better

Post-start thermal count per 100 km of scored flown distance — how often the pilot stops to circle. Each pilot's note adds their mean climb percentile within shared thermals, so few stops can be read together with climb strength.

Search fraction of the speed section(“Search%” in tables)
Measured in percent · lower is better

Share of speed-section time (start to ESS, or landing) spent searching — neither climbing in a thermal nor gliding with real net speed. Lower means less time leaks away between climbs.

Gaggle

Gaggle affinity (post-start time in a gaggle)(“Affinity” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start flying time spent inside a detected gaggle (clustered with at least one other racing pilot on the shared time grid). Neutral: the correlation sign says whether sticking with company paid on the day.

Marker usage (climbs entered on another pilot's climb)(“Marked%” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

Share of a pilot's post-start climbs where another pilot was already established (at least 30 s) and still climbing in the same thermal when they joined. High = climbs on others' markers; low = finds their own lift.

Gaggle departure win rate(“DepartWin” in tables)
Measured in percent · no expected direction

When a pilot leaves a gaggle that keeps flying, did leaving pay off? We compare the leaver's arrival at the next turnpoint against the median arrival of the pilots who stayed. Win rate > 50% means their departures beat the gaggle. Only pilots still in the gaggle after the split who reached that turnpoint after it count as stayers.

Race craft

Start delay (gate to crossing)(“StartDly” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

Seconds from the start gate taken (or the pilot’s own crossing on elapsed-time tasks, where the delay is 0 by definition) to the scored SSS crossing. The start table adds crossing altitude and how far behind the leading already-started pilot each start was.

Time lost on speed-section legs(“LegLost” in tables)
Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, the pilot’s leg time is compared with the mean of the top-10 (by rank) pilots who completed that leg; only losses count, and the losses are summed. Summed leg times are race time and the reference is defined by rank, so this tracks the outcome by construction — read the waterfall table (every leg against the task winner) for the diagnostic, not the correlation for a finding.

Time behind the leader at ESS(“Behind” in tables)
Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, elapsed race time (reaching minus own start) is compared with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint; the scalar is minutes behind at ESS. Expected to track final rank almost perfectly — this metric is the eval’s sanity check.

Altitude margin over final glide at ESS(“ESSMargin” in tables)
Measured in metres · lower is better

Altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the sport’s standard glide ratio (S7F §12.3.6: 5.0 HG / 4.0 PG). A big positive margin is altitude — i.e. time — left unspent.

Required glide ratio when leaving the last climb(“FinalGl” in tables)
Measured in ratio · no expected direction

At the pilot’s last climb before ESS (or landing): distance to goal divided by height above goal — the glide ratio they committed to. Only counted when that climb ended within 1.5× the final leg’s distance of goal.